Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIScience and Technology

Top AI model this month

Total Volume

$35.00K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Top AI model this month

Vol

$35.00K

Events

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $35.00K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $35.00K

100%

Kalshi leads

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3 markets tracked

What will be the top AI model on Oct 31, 2026? (gemini-4-argon-high)

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
What will be the top AI model on Oct 31, 2026? (gemini-4-argon-high)	Kalshi	76%
What will be the top AI model on Oct 31, 2026? (claude-fable-5.1-max)	Kalshi	1%
What will be the top AI model on Oct 31, 2026? (claude-opus-5.5-high)	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

76%

Top Probability

$35.00K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

On Oct 31, 2026 If X is the top-ranked AI model on Oct 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. If two models are tied under Rank, UB, then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win. Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Top AI model this month
**Category:** Science and Technology | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** On Oct 31, 2026

If X is the top-ranked AI model on Oct 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. If two models are tied under Rank, UB, then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win. Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If gemini-4-argon-high is the top-ranked AI model on Oct 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most vote"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $35.0K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. What will be the top AI model on Oct 31, 2026? (gemini-4-argon-high)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 31, 2026): Vol $3.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 75.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 24.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. What will be the top AI model on Oct 31, 2026? (claude-fable-5.1-max)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 31, 2026): Vol $21.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. What will be the top AI model on Oct 31, 2026? (claude-opus-5.5-high)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 31, 2026): Vol $10.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIScience and Technology

Top AI model this month

Volume$35.00K

Markets3

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KALSHI

What will be the top AI model on Oct 31, 2026? (gemini-4-argon-high)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 75.5¢No 24.5¢

KALSHITech

What will be the top AI model on Oct 31, 2026? (gemini-4-argon-high)

If gemini-4-argon-high is the top-ranked AI model on Oct 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most vote

KALSHI

What will be the top AI model on Oct 31, 2026? (claude-fable-5.1-max)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢

KALSHITech

What will be the top AI model on Oct 31, 2026? (claude-fable-5.1-max)

If claude-fable-5.1-max is the top-ranked AI model on Oct 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most vot

KALSHI

What will be the top AI model on Oct 31, 2026? (claude-opus-5.5-high)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢

KALSHITech

What will be the top AI model on Oct 31, 2026? (claude-opus-5.5-high)

If claude-opus-5.5-high is the top-ranked AI model on Oct 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most vot

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26¢

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What will be the top AI model on Oct 31, 2026? (gemini-4-argon-high)

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Events (1)

Top AI model this month

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What will be the top AI model on Oct 31, 2026? (gemini-4-argon-high)

What will be the top AI model on Oct 31, 2026? (gemini-4-argon-high)

What will be the top AI model on Oct 31, 2026? (claude-fable-5.1-max)

What will be the top AI model on Oct 31, 2026? (claude-fable-5.1-max)

What will be the top AI model on Oct 31, 2026? (claude-opus-5.5-high)

What will be the top AI model on Oct 31, 2026? (claude-opus-5.5-high)

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What will be the top AI model on Oct 31, 2026? (gemini-4-argon-high)

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Top AI model this month

What will be the top AI model on Oct 31, 2026? (gemini-4-argon-high)

What will be the top AI model on Oct 31, 2026? (gemini-4-argon-high)

What will be the top AI model on Oct 31, 2026? (claude-fable-5.1-max)

What will be the top AI model on Oct 31, 2026? (claude-fable-5.1-max)

What will be the top AI model on Oct 31, 2026? (claude-opus-5.5-high)

What will be the top AI model on Oct 31, 2026? (claude-opus-5.5-high)

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