Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIClimate and Weather

Lowest temperature in San Antonio on Oct 12, 2026?

Total Volume

$233.98

Events

Markets

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Lowest temperature in San Antonio on Oct 12, 2026?

Vol

$233.98

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $233.98

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $233.98

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

6 markets tracked

Will the minimum temperature be >72° on Oct 12, 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the minimum temperature be >72° on Oct 12, 2026?	Kalshi	61%
Will the minimum temperature be 71-72° on Oct 12, 2026?	Kalshi	22%
Will the minimum temperature be 69-70° on Oct 12, 2026?	Kalshi	6%
Will the minimum temperature be 67-68° on Oct 12, 2026?	Kalshi	4%
Will the minimum temperature be 65-66° on Oct 12, 2026?	Kalshi	3%
Will the minimum temperature be <65° on Oct 12, 2026?	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

61%

Top Probability

$233.98

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

On Oct 12, 2026 If the minimum temperature recorded at San Antonio, CLISAT, for Oct 12, 2026, is X than Y fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes. Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company. Reading weather data Preliminary Weather Company data may be s

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Lowest temperature in San Antonio on Oct 12, 2026?
**Category:** Climate and Weather | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** On Oct 12, 2026

If the minimum temperature recorded at San Antonio, CLISAT, for Oct 12, 2026, is X than Y fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes. Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company. Reading weather data Preliminary Weather Company data may be s

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the minimum temperature recorded at San Antonio (CLISAT) for Oct 12, 2026, is greater than 72° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $234
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the minimum temperature be >72° on Oct 12, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $108
  DATA: [Yes: 61.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 39.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the minimum temperature be <65° on Oct 12, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $15
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the minimum temperature be 71-72° on Oct 12, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 22.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the minimum temperature be 69-70° on Oct 12, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $11
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the minimum temperature be 67-68° on Oct 12, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $22
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the minimum temperature be 65-66° on Oct 12, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $78
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIClimate and Weather

Lowest temperature in San Antonio on Oct 12, 2026?

Volume$233.98

Markets6

6 of 6

Sort:

KALSHI

Will the minimum temperature be >72° on Oct 12, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 61.0¢No 39.0¢

KALSHIClimate

CLOSING SOON

Will the minimum temperature be >72° on Oct 12, 2026?

If the minimum temperature recorded at San Antonio (CLISAT) for Oct 12, 2026, is greater than 72° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide

KALSHI

Will the minimum temperature be 71-72° on Oct 12, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 22.0¢No 78.0¢

KALSHIClimate

CLOSING SOON

Will the minimum temperature be 71-72° on Oct 12, 2026?

If the minimum temperature recorded at San Antonio (CLISAT) for Oct 12, 2026, is between 71-72° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide y

KALSHI

Will the minimum temperature be 69-70° on Oct 12, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 5.5¢No 94.5¢

KALSHIClimate

CLOSING SOON

Will the minimum temperature be 69-70° on Oct 12, 2026?

If the minimum temperature recorded at San Antonio (CLISAT) for Oct 12, 2026, is between 69-70° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide y

KALSHI

Will the minimum temperature be 67-68° on Oct 12, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 3.5¢No 96.5¢

KALSHIClimate

CLOSING SOON

Will the minimum temperature be 67-68° on Oct 12, 2026?

If the minimum temperature recorded at San Antonio (CLISAT) for Oct 12, 2026, is between 67-68° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide y

KALSHI

Will the minimum temperature be 65-66° on Oct 12, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 3.5¢No 96.5¢

KALSHIClimate

CLOSING SOON

Will the minimum temperature be 65-66° on Oct 12, 2026?

If the minimum temperature recorded at San Antonio (CLISAT) for Oct 12, 2026, is between 65-66° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide y

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/F1FiX_" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Lowest temperature in San Antonio on Oct 12, 2026?"></iframe>

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Will the minimum temperature be >72° on Oct 12, 2026?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Lowest temperature in San Antonio on Oct 12, 2026?

Markets (6)

Will the minimum temperature be >72° on Oct 12, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be >72° on Oct 12, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be 71-72° on Oct 12, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be 71-72° on Oct 12, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be 69-70° on Oct 12, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be 69-70° on Oct 12, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be 67-68° on Oct 12, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be 67-68° on Oct 12, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be 65-66° on Oct 12, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be 65-66° on Oct 12, 2026?

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will the minimum temperature be >72° on Oct 12, 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Lowest temperature in San Antonio on Oct 12, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be >72° on Oct 12, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be >72° on Oct 12, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be 71-72° on Oct 12, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be 71-72° on Oct 12, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be 69-70° on Oct 12, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be 69-70° on Oct 12, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be 67-68° on Oct 12, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be 67-68° on Oct 12, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be 65-66° on Oct 12, 2026?

Will the minimum temperature be 65-66° on Oct 12, 2026?

Related News & Context

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