Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Santa Cruz 2: Francisco Comesana vs Nick Hardt

Name: Santa Cruz 2: Francisco Comesana vs Nick Hardt
End: 2026-10-19T14:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$99.79

Events

Markets

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Santa Cruz 2: Francisco Comesana vs Nick Hardt

Vol

$99.79

Events

Markets

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $99.79

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $99.79

100%

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

16 markets tracked

Santa Cruz 2: Francisco Comesana vs Nick Hardt

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Single-Platform Markets(16)

Market	Platform	Price
Santa Cruz 2: Francisco Comesana vs Nick Hardt	Poly	79%
Set 1 Winner: Francisco Comesana vs Nick Hardt	Poly	76%
Set Handicap: Francisco Comesana (-1.5) vs Nick Hardt (+1.5)	Poly	60%
Santa Cruz 2: Completed Match: Francisco Comesana vs Nick Hardt	Poly	52%
Set 2 Winner: Francisco Comesana vs Nick Hardt	Poly	50%
Set Handicap: Nick Hardt (-1.5) vs Francisco Comesana (+1.5)	Poly	50%
Comesana vs. Hardt: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5	Poly	49%
Comesana vs. Hardt: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5	Poly	49%
Comesana vs. Hardt: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5	Poly	49%
Comesana vs. Hardt: Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5	Poly	49%
Comesana vs. Hardt: Set 2 Games Over/Under 9.5	Poly	49%
Comesana vs. Hardt: Set 2 Games Over/Under 10.5	Poly	49%
Comesana vs. Hardt: Match Over/Under 21.5	Poly	43%
Comesana vs. Hardt: Match Over/Under 23.5	Poly	36%
Comesana vs. Hardt: Match Over/Under 22.5	Poly	33%
Francisco Comesana vs. Nick Hardt: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5	Poly	28%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

79%

Top Probability

$99.79

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the tennis match between Francisco Comesana and Nick Hardt in the Santa Cruz 2, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francisco Comesana' if Francisco Comesana advances against Nick Hardt. This market will resolve to 'Nick Hardt' if Nick Hardt advances against Francisco Comesana. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after t

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Santa Cruz 2: Francisco Comesana vs Nick Hardt
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 19, 2026 (8 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market refers to the tennis match between Francisco Comesana and Nick Hardt in the Santa Cruz 2, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 10:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Francisco Comesana' if Francisco Comesana advances against Nick Hardt.

This market will resolve to 'Nick Hardt' if Nick Hardt advances against Francisco Comesana.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after t

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the tennis match between Francisco Comesana and Nick Hardt in the Santa Cruz 2, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 10:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Francisco Comesana' if Francisco Comesana advances against Nick Hardt.

This market will resolve to 'Nick Hardt"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $100
* **Total Liquidity:** $4.5K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.02)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Santa Cruz 2: Francisco Comesana vs Nick Hardt
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $100
  DATA: [Francisco Comesana: 79.0% (0.0%)] | [Nick Hardt: 21.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Santa Cruz 2: Completed Match: Francisco Comesana vs Nick Hardt
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 52.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Set 1 Winner: Francisco Comesana vs Nick Hardt
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Francisco Comesana: 75.5% (0.0%)] | [Nick Hardt: 24.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Set 2 Winner: Francisco Comesana vs Nick Hardt
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Francisco Comesana: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Nick Hardt: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Francisco Comesana vs. Nick Hardt: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over 2.5: 28.5% (0.0%)] | [Under 2.5: 71.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Comesana vs. Hardt: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Comesana vs. Hardt: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Comesana vs. Hardt: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Comesana vs. Hardt: Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Comesana vs. Hardt: Set 2 Games Over/Under 9.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Comesana vs. Hardt: Set 2 Games Over/Under 10.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Comesana vs. Hardt: Match Over/Under 21.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 42.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 57.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Comesana vs. Hardt: Match Over/Under 22.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 33.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 67.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Comesana vs. Hardt: Match Over/Under 23.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 35.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 64.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Set Handicap: Francisco Comesana (-1.5) vs Nick Hardt (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Francisco Comesana: 60.0% (0.0%)] | [Nick Hardt: 40.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Set Handicap: Nick Hardt (-1.5) vs Francisco Comesana (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Nick Hardt: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [Francisco Comesana: 50.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

Santa Cruz 2: Francisco Comesana vs Nick Hardt

Volume$99.79

Markets16

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POLYMARKET

Santa Cruz 2: Completed Match: Francisco Comesana vs Nick Hardt

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 52.0¢No 48.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Santa Cruz 2: Completed Match: Francisco Comesana vs Nick Hardt

POLYMARKET

Santa Cruz 2: Francisco Comesana vs Nick Hardt

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Santa Cruz 2: Francisco Comesana vs Nick Hardt

POLYMARKET

Set 1 Winner: Francisco Comesana vs Nick Hardt

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set 1 Winner: Francisco Comesana vs Nick Hardt

POLYMARKET

Set 2 Winner: Francisco Comesana vs Nick Hardt

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set 2 Winner: Francisco Comesana vs Nick Hardt

POLYMARKET

Francisco Comesana vs. Nick Hardt: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Francisco Comesana vs. Nick Hardt: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

This market refers to the tennis match between Francisco Comesana and Nick Hardt in the Santa Cruz 2, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. If the match is played to completion, this market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets played equals or exceeds 3, and to "Unde

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Oct 19, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC

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50¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/F94ZZn" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Santa Cruz 2: Francisco Comesana vs Nick Hardt"></iframe>

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Santa Cruz 2: Francisco Comesana vs Nick Hardt

Santa Cruz 2: Francisco Comesana vs Nick Hardt

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Santa Cruz 2: Francisco Comesana vs Nick Hardt

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Santa Cruz 2: Francisco Comesana vs Nick Hardt

Markets (16)

Santa Cruz 2: Completed Match: Francisco Comesana vs Nick Hardt

Santa Cruz 2: Completed Match: Francisco Comesana vs Nick Hardt

Santa Cruz 2: Francisco Comesana vs Nick Hardt

Santa Cruz 2: Francisco Comesana vs Nick Hardt

Set 1 Winner: Francisco Comesana vs Nick Hardt

Set 1 Winner: Francisco Comesana vs Nick Hardt

Set 2 Winner: Francisco Comesana vs Nick Hardt

Set 2 Winner: Francisco Comesana vs Nick Hardt

Francisco Comesana vs. Nick Hardt: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

Francisco Comesana vs. Nick Hardt: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

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Santa Cruz 2: Francisco Comesana vs Nick Hardt

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Santa Cruz 2: Francisco Comesana vs Nick Hardt

Santa Cruz 2: Completed Match: Francisco Comesana vs Nick Hardt

Santa Cruz 2: Completed Match: Francisco Comesana vs Nick Hardt

Santa Cruz 2: Francisco Comesana vs Nick Hardt

Santa Cruz 2: Francisco Comesana vs Nick Hardt

Set 1 Winner: Francisco Comesana vs Nick Hardt

Set 1 Winner: Francisco Comesana vs Nick Hardt

Set 2 Winner: Francisco Comesana vs Nick Hardt

Set 2 Winner: Francisco Comesana vs Nick Hardt

Francisco Comesana vs. Nick Hardt: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

Francisco Comesana vs. Nick Hardt: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

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