Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Turkish troops enter Yemen by...?

Name: Turkish troops enter Yemen by...?
End: 2027-01-01T04:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$4.64K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Turkish troops enter Yemen by...?

Vol

$4.64K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $4.64K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $4.64K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

2 markets tracked

Turkish troops enter Yemen by December 31, 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(2)

Market	Platform	Price
Turkish troops enter Yemen by December 31, 2026?	Poly	13%
Turkish troops enter Yemen by October 31, 2026?	Poly	5%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

13%

Top Probability

$4.64K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Turkish troops enter any part of Yemen by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Turkish troops" refers to active military personnel officially affiliated with Turkey. Only members of the regular armed forces of Turkey will qualify. Foreign fighters, private military contractors, mercenaries, or any other personnel recruited, paid, trained, equipped or directed by Turkey who are not members of the Turkish armed forces

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Turkish troops enter Yemen by...?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 1, 2027 (82 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if Turkish troops enter any part of Yemen by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

"Turkish troops" refers to active military personnel officially affiliated with Turkey. Only members of the regular armed forces of Turkey will qualify. Foreign fighters, private military contractors, mercenaries, or any other personnel recruited, paid, trained, equipped or directed by Turkey who are not members of the Turkish armed forces 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if Turkish troops enter any part of Yemen by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

"Turkish troops" refers to active military personnel officially affiliated with Turkey. Only members of the regular armed forces of Turkey wil"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $4.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $28.8K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.16)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Turkish troops enter Yemen by October 31, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $3.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Turkish troops enter Yemen by December 31, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics