Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

Spanish general election: voter turnout

Total Volume

$9.39K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Spanish general election: voter turnout

Vol

$9.39K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $9.39K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $9.39K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

12 markets tracked

Will at least 22,500,000 ballots be cast in Spain’s November 29, 2026 general election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(12)

Market	Platform	Price
Will at least 22,500,000 ballots be cast in Spain’s November 29, 2026 general election?	Kalshi	97%
Will at least 22,000,000 ballots be cast in Spain’s November 29, 2026 general election?	Kalshi	97%
Will at least 23,500,000 ballots be cast in Spain’s November 29, 2026 general election?	Kalshi	96%
Will at least 23,000,000 ballots be cast in Spain’s November 29, 2026 general election?	Kalshi	96%
Will at least 24,000,000 ballots be cast in Spain’s November 29, 2026 general election?	Kalshi	96%
Will at least 24,500,000 ballots be cast in Spain’s November 29, 2026 general election?	Kalshi	92%
Will at least 25,000,000 ballots be cast in Spain’s November 29, 2026 general election?	Kalshi	84%
Will at least 25,500,000 ballots be cast in Spain’s November 29, 2026 general election?	Kalshi	74%
Will at least 26,000,000 ballots be cast in Spain’s November 29, 2026 general election?	Kalshi	41%
Will at least 26,500,000 ballots be cast in Spain’s November 29, 2026 general election?	Kalshi	31%
Will at least 27,000,000 ballots be cast in Spain’s November 29, 2026 general election?	Kalshi	16%
Will at least 27,500,000 ballots be cast in Spain’s November 29, 2026 general election?	Kalshi	10%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

97%

Top Probability

$9.39K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

On Nov 29, 2026 If at least X valid and null ballots are cast in the November 29, 2026 Spanish general election for the Congress of Deputies, then the market resolves to Yes. The count is the number of voters, votantes, for the Congress of Deputies: valid votes, including blank votes, plus null votes; registered voters, abstentions and Senate ballots do not count. If the Junta Electoral Central has not published national results by the Expiration Date, the count is the provincial electoral boar

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Spanish general election: voter turnout
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** On Nov 29, 2026

If at least X valid and null ballots are cast in the November 29, 2026 Spanish general election for the Congress of Deputies, then the market resolves to Yes. The count is the number of voters, votantes, for the Congress of Deputies: valid votes, including blank votes, plus null votes; registered voters, abstentions and Senate ballots do not count. If the Junta Electoral Central has not published national results by the Expiration Date, the count is the provincial electoral boar

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If at least 27,500,000 valid and null ballots are cast in the November 29, 2026 Spanish general election for the Congress of Deputies, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The count is the number of voters (votantes) for the Congress of Deputies: valid votes, including blank votes, plus"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $9.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will at least 27,500,000 ballots be cast in Spain’s November 29, 2026 general election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 6, 2026): Vol $5.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will at least 27,000,000 ballots be cast in Spain’s November 29, 2026 general election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 6, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 16.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will at least 26,500,000 ballots be cast in Spain’s November 29, 2026 general election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 6, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 30.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 69.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will at least 26,000,000 ballots be cast in Spain’s November 29, 2026 general election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 6, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 40.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will at least 25,500,000 ballots be cast in Spain’s November 29, 2026 general election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 6, 2026): Vol $3.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 73.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 26.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will at least 25,000,000 ballots be cast in Spain’s November 29, 2026 general election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 6, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 83.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 16.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will at least 24,500,000 ballots be cast in Spain’s November 29, 2026 general election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 6, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 91.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 8.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will at least 24,000,000 ballots be cast in Spain’s November 29, 2026 general election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 6, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 95.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will at least 23,500,000 ballots be cast in Spain’s November 29, 2026 general election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 6, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 96.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will at least 23,000,000 ballots be cast in Spain’s November 29, 2026 general election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 6, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 96.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will at least 22,500,000 ballots be cast in Spain’s November 29, 2026 general election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 6, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 96.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will at least 22,000,000 ballots be cast in Spain’s November 29, 2026 general election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 6, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 96.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

Spanish general election: voter turnout

Volume$9.39K

Markets12

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KALSHI

Will at least 22,500,000 ballots be cast in Spain’s November 29, 2026 general election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 96.5¢No 3.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will at least 22,500,000 ballots be cast in Spain’s November 29, 2026 general election?

If at least 22,500,000 valid and null ballots are cast in the November 29, 2026 Spanish general election for the Congress of Deputies, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The count is the number of voters (votantes) for the Congress of Deputies: valid votes, including blank votes, plus

KALSHI

Will at least 22,000,000 ballots be cast in Spain’s November 29, 2026 general election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 96.5¢No 3.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will at least 22,000,000 ballots be cast in Spain’s November 29, 2026 general election?

If at least 22,000,000 valid and null ballots are cast in the November 29, 2026 Spanish general election for the Congress of Deputies, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The count is the number of voters (votantes) for the Congress of Deputies: valid votes, including blank votes, plus

KALSHI

Will at least 23,500,000 ballots be cast in Spain’s November 29, 2026 general election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 96.0¢No 4.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will at least 23,500,000 ballots be cast in Spain’s November 29, 2026 general election?

If at least 23,500,000 valid and null ballots are cast in the November 29, 2026 Spanish general election for the Congress of Deputies, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The count is the number of voters (votantes) for the Congress of Deputies: valid votes, including blank votes, plus

KALSHI

Will at least 23,000,000 ballots be cast in Spain’s November 29, 2026 general election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 96.0¢No 4.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will at least 23,000,000 ballots be cast in Spain’s November 29, 2026 general election?

If at least 23,000,000 valid and null ballots are cast in the November 29, 2026 Spanish general election for the Congress of Deputies, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The count is the number of voters (votantes) for the Congress of Deputies: valid votes, including blank votes, plus

KALSHI

Will at least 24,000,000 ballots be cast in Spain’s November 29, 2026 general election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 95.5¢No 4.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will at least 24,000,000 ballots be cast in Spain’s November 29, 2026 general election?

If at least 24,000,000 valid and null ballots are cast in the November 29, 2026 Spanish general election for the Congress of Deputies, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The count is the number of voters (votantes) for the Congress of Deputies: valid votes, including blank votes, plus

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/FUYwao" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Spanish general election: voter turnout"></iframe>

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Spanish general election: voter turnout

Spanish general election: voter turnout

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Will at least 22,500,000 ballots be cast in Spain’s November 29, 2026 general election?

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Spanish general election: voter turnout

Markets (12)

Will at least 22,500,000 ballots be cast in Spain’s November 29, 2026 general election?

Will at least 22,500,000 ballots be cast in Spain’s November 29, 2026 general election?

Will at least 22,000,000 ballots be cast in Spain’s November 29, 2026 general election?

Will at least 22,000,000 ballots be cast in Spain’s November 29, 2026 general election?

Will at least 23,500,000 ballots be cast in Spain’s November 29, 2026 general election?

Will at least 23,500,000 ballots be cast in Spain’s November 29, 2026 general election?

Will at least 23,000,000 ballots be cast in Spain’s November 29, 2026 general election?

Will at least 23,000,000 ballots be cast in Spain’s November 29, 2026 general election?

Will at least 24,000,000 ballots be cast in Spain’s November 29, 2026 general election?

Will at least 24,000,000 ballots be cast in Spain’s November 29, 2026 general election?

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Will at least 22,500,000 ballots be cast in Spain’s November 29, 2026 general election?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Spanish general election: voter turnout

Will at least 22,500,000 ballots be cast in Spain’s November 29, 2026 general election?

Will at least 22,500,000 ballots be cast in Spain’s November 29, 2026 general election?

Will at least 22,000,000 ballots be cast in Spain’s November 29, 2026 general election?

Will at least 22,000,000 ballots be cast in Spain’s November 29, 2026 general election?

Will at least 23,500,000 ballots be cast in Spain’s November 29, 2026 general election?

Will at least 23,500,000 ballots be cast in Spain’s November 29, 2026 general election?

Will at least 23,000,000 ballots be cast in Spain’s November 29, 2026 general election?

Will at least 23,000,000 ballots be cast in Spain’s November 29, 2026 general election?

Will at least 24,000,000 ballots be cast in Spain’s November 29, 2026 general election?

Will at least 24,000,000 ballots be cast in Spain’s November 29, 2026 general election?

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