Name: United Rugby Championship: Ulster vs Cardiff Rugby
End: 2026-02-07T19:45:00.000Z

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United Rugby Championship: Ulster vs Cardiff Rugby | PredictPedia

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3 markets tracked

Will Ulster win?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Ulster win?	Poly	48%
Will Cardiff Rugby win?	Poly	48%
Will the match end in a draw?	Poly	47%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, January 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** United Rugby Championship: Ulster vs Cardiff Rugby
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Feb 7, 2026 (23 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This event is for the upcoming United Rugby Championship match between Ulster and Cardiff Rugby, scheduled for January 31 2026.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming game, scheduled for January 31 2026
If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $170
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the match end in a draw?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 7, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 53.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Ulster win?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 7, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 48.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Cardiff Rugby win?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 7, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 48.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

22d 7h remaining

Feb 07, 2026 7:45 PM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

48¢

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United Rugby Championship: Ulster vs Cardiff Rugby

United Rugby Championship: Ulster vs Cardiff Rugby

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Will Ulster win?

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Events (1)

United Rugby Championship: Ulster vs Cardiff Rugby

Markets (3)

Will Ulster win?

Will Ulster win?

Will Cardiff Rugby win?

Will Cardiff Rugby win?

Will the match end in a draw?

Will the match end in a draw?

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Will Ulster win?

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United Rugby Championship: Ulster vs Cardiff Rugby

Will Ulster win?

Will Ulster win?

Will Cardiff Rugby win?

Will Cardiff Rugby win?

Will the match end in a draw?

Will the match end in a draw?

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