GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Aguascalientes Governor Election Winner

Name: Aguascalientes Governor Election Winner
End: 2027-06-06T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$47.70K

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Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Aguascalientes Governor Election Winner

Vol

$47.70K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $47.70K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $47.70K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

15 markets tracked

Will Antonio Martín del Campo win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(15)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Antonio Martín del Campo win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?	Poly	36%
Will Leonardo Montañez Castro win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?	Poly	33%
Will Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?	Poly	33%
Will Ricardo Rodríguez Vargas win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?	Poly	0%
Will Aldo Ruiz Sánchez win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?	Poly	0%
Will Humberto Ambriz Delgadillo win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?	Poly	0%
Will Kendor Macías win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?	Poly	0%
Will Leticia Olivares win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?	Poly	0%
Will Arturo Ávila Anaya win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?	Poly	0%
Will Salma Luévano Luna win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?	Poly	0%
Will Genny Janeth López Valenzuela win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?	Poly	0%
Will Ana Gómez Calzada win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?	Poly	0%
Will Lorena Martínez Rodríguez win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?	Poly	0%
Will Anayeli Muñoz Moreno win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?	Poly	0%
Will Karla Arely Espinoza win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

36%

Top Probability

$47.70K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Aguascalientes on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Aguascalientes gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If th

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Aguascalientes Governor Election Winner
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jun 6, 2027 (275 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Aguascalientes on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Aguascalientes gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If th

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Aguascalientes on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Aguascalientes gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known defini"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $47.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $157.9K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.30)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Antonio Martín del Campo win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $10.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 35.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Leonardo Montañez Castro win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $9.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 33.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 67.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $12.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 32.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 67.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Arturo Ávila Anaya win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Salma Luévano Luna win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $940
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Genny Janeth López Valenzuela win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Ricardo Rodríguez Vargas win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Ana Gómez Calzada win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Aldo Ruiz Sánchez win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Lorena Martínez Rodríguez win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Anayeli Muñoz Moreno win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Karla Arely Espinoza win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Humberto Ambriz Delgadillo win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Kendor Macías win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Leticia Olivares win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics