Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Auckland vs Melbourne City

Total Volume

$4.13

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Auckland vs Melbourne City

Vol

$4.13

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $4.13

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $4.13

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Auckland wins

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Auckland wins	Kalshi	38%
Melbourne City wins	Kalshi	32%
Tie is the result	Kalshi	28%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

38%

Top Probability

$4.13

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

AUC vs MEL (Oct 17) If X wins the Auckland vs Melbourne City professional Australia A League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Auckland vs Melbourne City professional Australia A League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties. If the game ends in a

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Auckland vs Melbourne City
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** AUC vs MEL (Oct 17)

If X wins the Auckland vs Melbourne City professional Australia A League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Auckland vs Melbourne City professional Australia A League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties. If the game ends in a

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Tie is the result of the Auckland vs Melbourne City professional Australia A League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to th"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $4
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Tie is the result
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 27.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Melbourne City wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 32.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Auckland wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $4
  DATA: [Yes: 38.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Auckland vs Melbourne City

Volume$4.13

Markets3

3 of 3

Sort:

KALSHI

Auckland wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 38.0¢No 62.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Auckland wins

If Auckland wins the Auckland vs Melbourne City professional Australia A League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Auckl

KALSHI

Melbourne City wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 32.0¢No 68.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Melbourne City wins

If Melbourne City wins the Auckland vs Melbourne City professional Australia A League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the

KALSHI

Tie is the result

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 27.5¢No 72.5¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Tie is the result

If Tie is the result of the Auckland vs Melbourne City professional Australia A League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to th

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Average Yes Price

33¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/FYtZOy" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Auckland vs Melbourne City"></iframe>

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Auckland vs Melbourne City

Auckland vs Melbourne City

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Auckland wins

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Auckland vs Melbourne City

Markets (3)

Auckland wins

Auckland wins

Melbourne City wins

Melbourne City wins

Tie is the result

Tie is the result

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Auckland wins

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Auckland vs Melbourne City

Auckland wins

Auckland wins

Melbourne City wins

Melbourne City wins

Tie is the result

Tie is the result

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