Name: Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 8, 2026?
End: 2026-03-06T00:00:00.000Z

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Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 8, 2026? | PredictPedia

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Polymarket

markets · $1.97K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

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Volume DistributionTotal: $1.97K

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6 markets tracked

Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 8 be between 70 and 80?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 8 be between 70 and 80?	Poly	75%
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 8 be between 90 and 100?	Poly	8%
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 8 be less than 60?	Poly	3%
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 8 be between 60 and 70?	Poly	3%
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 8 be 100 or more?	Poly	3%
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 8 be between 80 and 90?	Poly	2%

AI Analysis

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About This Event

This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, March 2, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 8, 2026?
**Category:** Climate | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Mar 6, 2026 (4 days left)
**Time Pressure:** High

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.

If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.

If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The resolution s"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $2.0K
* **Total Liquidity:** $13.4K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.15)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 8 be between 60 and 70?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 6, 2026): Vol $143
  DATA: [Yes: 2.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.4% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 8 be between 80 and 90?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 6, 2026): Vol $60
  DATA: [Yes: 2.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.7% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 8 be 100 or more?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 6, 2026): Vol $407
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 8 be less than 60?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 6, 2026): Vol $986
  DATA: [Yes: 3.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.8% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 8 be between 70 and 80?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 6, 2026): Vol $86
  DATA: [Yes: 75.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 25.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 8 be between 90 and 100?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 6, 2026): Vol $290
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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