Name: Top 14: Toulon vs ASM Clermont Auvergne
End: 2026-02-21T20:00:00.000Z

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Top 14: Toulon vs ASM Clermont Auvergne | PredictPedia

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3 markets tracked

Will Toulon win?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Toulon win?	Poly	53%
Will ASM Clermont Auvergne win?	Poly	51%
Will the match end in a draw?	Poly	42%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, February 22, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Top 14: Toulon vs ASM Clermont Auvergne
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Feb 21, 2026 (0 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Critical

**Description:** This event is for the upcoming Top 14 match between Toulon and ASM Clermont Auvergne, scheduled for February 14 2026.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming game, scheduled for February 14 2026
If Toulon wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $21.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $192
* **Activity Level:** Very High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 111.96)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Toulon win?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 21, 2026): Vol $20.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 53.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the match end in a draw?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 21, 2026): Vol $20
  DATA: [Yes: 41.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 58.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will ASM Clermont Auvergne win?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 21, 2026): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

48¢

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Top 14: Toulon vs ASM Clermont Auvergne

Top 14: Toulon vs ASM Clermont Auvergne

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Will Toulon win?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Top 14: Toulon vs ASM Clermont Auvergne

Markets (3)

Will Toulon win?

Will Toulon win?

Will ASM Clermont Auvergne win?

Will ASM Clermont Auvergne win?

Will the match end in a draw?

Will the match end in a draw?

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Will Toulon win?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Top 14: Toulon vs ASM Clermont Auvergne

Will Toulon win?

Will Toulon win?

Will ASM Clermont Auvergne win?

Will ASM Clermont Auvergne win?

Will the match end in a draw?

Will the match end in a draw?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

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