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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Top 12 Scoring QBs

Name: Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Top 12 Scoring QBs
End: 2027-01-27T04:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$15.17K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Top 12 Scoring QBs

Vol

$15.17K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $15.17K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $15.17K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

50 markets tracked

Will Josh Allen finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(50)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Josh Allen finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Poly	99%
Will Brock Purdy finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Poly	89%
Will Patrick Mahomes finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Poly	82%
Will Lamar Jackson finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Poly	78%
Will Dak Prescott finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Poly	77%
Will Trevor Lawrence finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Poly	49%
Will Joe Burrow finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Poly	45%
Will Drake Maye finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Poly	45%
Will Matthew Stafford finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Poly	40%
Will Tyler Shough finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Poly	36%
Will Jacoby Brissett finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Poly	31%
Will Jalen Hurts finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Poly	28%
Will Caleb Williams finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Poly	27%
Will Jared Goff finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Poly	27%
Will Jordan Love finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Poly	26%
Will Bryce Young finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Poly	24%
Will Bo Nix finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Poly	24%
Will Kirk Cousins finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Poly	22%
Will Malik Willis finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Poly	20%
Will Aaron Rodgers finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Poly	17%
Will Justin Herbert finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Poly	17%
Will Daniel Jones finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Poly	16%
Will Michael Penix Jr. finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Poly	14%
Will Baker Mayfield finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Poly	12%
Will Cam Ward finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Poly	12%
Will Deshaun Watson finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Poly	12%
Will Jayden Daniels finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Poly	11%
Will Kyler Murray finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Poly	11%
Will Sam Darnold finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Poly	11%
Will Geno Smith finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Poly	11%
Will Justin Fields finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Poly	10%
Will Ty Simpson finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Poly	10%
Will C.J. Stroud finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Poly	10%
Will Marcus Mariota finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Poly	8%
Will Mac Jones finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Poly	7%
Will Jameis Winston finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Poly	6%
Will Tommy DeVito finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Poly	5%
Will Fernando Mendoza finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Poly	5%
Will Anthony Richardson Sr. finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Poly	5%
Will Sam Howell finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Poly	4%
Will Jake Browning finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Poly	3%
Will Nick Mullens finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Poly	3%
Will Jaxson Dart finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Poly	3%
Will Tyson Bagent finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Poly	2%
Will J.J. McCarthy finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Poly	2%
Will Jarrett Stidham finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Poly	2%
Will Carson Beck finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Poly	1%
Will Joe Flacco finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Poly	1%
Will Tua Tagovailoa finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Poly	1%
Will Shedeur Sanders finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

99%

Top Probability

$15.17K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named quarterback finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season (Weeks 1 through 18) ranked among the top 12 quarterbacks by total fantasy points under standard PPR (points-per-reception) scoring per the default scoring of ESPN Fantasy Sports. Otherwise, that market will resolve to "No". Only regular-season games count; postseason (playoff) games are excluded. If two or more quarterbacks are tied such that more than 12 would qualify for the top 12, the tie wil

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Top 12 Scoring QBs
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 27, 2027 (107 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named quarterback finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season (Weeks 1 through 18) ranked among the top 12 quarterbacks by total fantasy points under standard PPR (points-per-reception) scoring per the default scoring of ESPN Fantasy Sports. Otherwise, that market will resolve to "No".

Only regular-season games count; postseason (playoff) games are excluded. If two or more quarterbacks are tied such that more than 12 would qualify for the top 12, the tie wil

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named quarterback finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season (Weeks 1 through 18) ranked among the top 12 quarterbacks by total fantasy points under standard PPR (points-per-reception) scoring per the default scoring of ESPN Fantasy Sports. Otherwise, that marke"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $15.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $4.2K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 3.63)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Josh Allen finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Jayden Daniels finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $390
  DATA: [Yes: 11.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Lamar Jackson finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $205
  DATA: [Yes: 77.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 22.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Drake Maye finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $377
  DATA: [Yes: 44.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 55.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Jalen Hurts finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 28.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Joe Burrow finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 45.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 55.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Jaxson Dart finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $160
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Trevor Lawrence finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $411
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Dak Prescott finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $393
  DATA: [Yes: 77.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 23.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Bo Nix finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $60
  DATA: [Yes: 24.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Brock Purdy finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $160
  DATA: [Yes: 88.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 11.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Matthew Stafford finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 39.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Caleb Williams finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $40
  DATA: [Yes: 27.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Justin Herbert finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $60
  DATA: [Yes: 16.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Patrick Mahomes finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $261
  DATA: [Yes: 81.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 18.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Kyler Murray finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Tyler Shough finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 36.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Jared Goff finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $40
  DATA: [Yes: 26.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Daniel Jones finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 16.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Baker Mayfield finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $75
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Malik Willis finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 20.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.0% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Jordan Love finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 25.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.5% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Cam Ward finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $45
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will C.J. Stroud finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $139
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will Sam Darnold finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will Bryce Young finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $761
  DATA: [Yes: 24.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.6% (0.0%)]

### 27. Will Fernando Mendoza finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $265
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 28. Will Geno Smith finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 29. Will Aaron Rodgers finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $62
  DATA: [Yes: 17.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.0% (0.0%)]

### 30. Will Jacoby Brissett finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 30.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 69.5% (0.0%)]

### 31. Will Deshaun Watson finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 32. Will Tua Tagovailoa finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $574
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.9% (0.0%)]

### 33. Will Shedeur Sanders finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $431
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.9% (0.0%)]

### 34. Will Kirk Cousins finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $802
  DATA: [Yes: 21.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.5% (0.0%)]

### 35. Will Michael Penix Jr. finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 14.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.0% (0.0%)]

### 36. Will J.J. McCarthy finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $146
  DATA: [Yes: 2.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 37. Will Carson Beck finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $432
  DATA: [Yes: 1.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.8% (0.0%)]

### 38. Will Justin Fields finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $390
  DATA: [Yes: 10.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.8% (0.0%)]

### 39. Will Joe Flacco finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.8% (0.0%)]

### 40. Will Mac Jones finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $238
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 41. Will Jameis Winston finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $20
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 42. Will Ty Simpson finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $540
  DATA: [Yes: 10.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 43. Will Anthony Richardson Sr. finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $300
  DATA: [Yes: 4.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.3% (0.0%)]

### 44. Will Jarrett Stidham finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $176
  DATA: [Yes: 1.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 45. Will Nick Mullens finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $980
  DATA: [Yes: 2.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.1% (0.0%)]

### 46. Will Jake Browning finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $776
  DATA: [Yes: 3.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.6% (0.0%)]

### 47. Will Tommy DeVito finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $337
  DATA: [Yes: 5.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.9% (0.0%)]

### 48. Will Marcus Mariota finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $201
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 49. Will Tyson Bagent finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $312
  DATA: [Yes: 2.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.7% (0.0%)]

### 50. Will Sam Howell finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $899
  DATA: [Yes: 4.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.9% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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