This prediction market focuses on which film will rank as the number one global movie on Netflix during a specific weekly measurement period. Netflix publishes a weekly Top 10 list on its official website, top10.netflix.com, every Tuesday at 3:00 PM Eastern Time. The list ranks movies and TV shows based on total hours viewed globally by subscribers during the previous Monday-through-Sunday window. For this market, the resolution depends solely on which English-language movie occupies the top position on the Global Top 10 Movies list for the week ending February 22, 2026. The data comes directly from Netflix's own reporting. If the scheduled update does not appear by February 27, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve according to its specific contingency rules. People track these rankings as a real-time barometer of streaming popularity, influencing industry decisions and public conversation about what content resonates worldwide. The competition for the top spot is often between major new Netflix original releases, licensed blockbusters fresh to the service, and surprise hits that gain momentum through word-of-mouth. Analysts, journalists, and entertainment professionals monitor these lists to gauge viewer preferences and the performance of Netflix's content investments.

Historical Context

Netflix began publishing weekly Top 10 lists in February 2021, providing unprecedented public transparency into viewership on its platform. Prior to this, the company only occasionally released selective data, often in shareholder letters or press releases about specific hits. The introduction of the lists standardized a metric for comparing the performance of all titles. Initially, the lists were based on the number of accounts that chose to watch a title for at least two minutes. In June 2023, Netflix changed its methodology to rank titles by total hours viewed, aligning its public reporting with the metric it uses internally and in its financial reports. This change benefited longer films and series with high completion rates. Historically, the top movie spot has been claimed by a mix of expensive Netflix originals like "Red Notice" (2021) and "The Gray Man" (2022), licensed theatrical successes like "Minions: The Rise of Gru" (2022), and lower-budget surprise hits that capture cultural moments. The competition often reflects broader industry trends, such as the dominance of action franchises or the resurgence of romantic comedies.

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