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$40.97K
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$40.97K
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Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, February 3, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by February 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will re
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
This prediction market focuses on which film will rank as the number one global movie on Netflix during a specific weekly measurement period. Netflix publishes a weekly Top 10 list on its official website, top10.netflix.com, every Tuesday at 3:00 PM Eastern Time. The list ranks movies and TV shows based on total hours viewed globally by subscribers during the previous Monday-through-Sunday window. For this market, the resolution depends solely on which English-language movie occupies the top position on the Global Top 10 Movies list for the week ending February 22, 2026. The data comes directly from Netflix's own reporting. If the scheduled update does not appear by February 27, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve according to its specific contingency rules. People track these rankings as a real-time barometer of streaming popularity, influencing industry decisions and public conversation about what content resonates worldwide. The competition for the top spot is often between major new Netflix original releases, licensed blockbusters fresh to the service, and surprise hits that gain momentum through word-of-mouth. Analysts, journalists, and entertainment professionals monitor these lists to gauge viewer preferences and the performance of Netflix's content investments.
Netflix began publishing weekly Top 10 lists in February 2021, providing unprecedented public transparency into viewership on its platform. Prior to this, the company only occasionally released selective data, often in shareholder letters or press releases about specific hits. The introduction of the lists standardized a metric for comparing the performance of all titles. Initially, the lists were based on the number of accounts that chose to watch a title for at least two minutes. In June 2023, Netflix changed its methodology to rank titles by total hours viewed, aligning its public reporting with the metric it uses internally and in its financial reports. This change benefited longer films and series with high completion rates. Historically, the top movie spot has been claimed by a mix of expensive Netflix originals like "Red Notice" (2021) and "The Gray Man" (2022), licensed theatrical successes like "Minions: The Rise of Gru" (2022), and lower-budget surprise hits that capture cultural moments. The competition often reflects broader industry trends, such as the dominance of action franchises or the resurgence of romantic comedies.
The weekly number one film is a key performance indicator for Netflix. It signals to investors, competitors, and the creative community what type of content is capturing global attention, which can influence stock prices, talent deals, and greenlighting decisions across Hollywood. A consistently strong performer validates Netflix's spending on original content, which exceeded $17 billion in 2023. For filmmakers and actors, topping the list provides leverage in negotiations and can define a project as a commercial success in the absence of traditional box office numbers. The global nature of the ranking highlights the importance of cross-cultural appeal. A film that resonates in North America, Europe, Asia, and Latin America demonstrates the power of streaming to create worldwide cultural events simultaneously, unlike the staggered release patterns of traditional cinema.
As of early 2025, Netflix continues to dominate the streaming landscape in terms of subscriber numbers and cultural impact. The film division under new head Dan Lin is developing its future slate, which will include the releases that will be active in February 2026. The company's strategy increasingly balances franchise plays (like sequels to "Extraction" or "Knives Out") with mid-budget genre films and awards contenders. Licensing deals with major studios remain a volatile but crucial source of hit content, as seen with the successful runs of films like "Spider-Man: No Way Home" on the service.
Netflix ranks titles by total hours viewed globally. This means the total runtime of a film multiplied by the number of times it was watched to completion or near-completion. The company counts viewing across all devices and countries where Netflix is available during the Monday-to-Sunday measurement period.
No, for this specific market. Netflix publishes separate Global Top 10 lists for English and Non-English films. This prediction market resolves based on the #1 film on the English list only. A Korean drama or Spanish-language film would appear on, and potentially top, the Non-English list.
Netflix's published list always shows a distinct ranking from 1 to 10. The company uses its internal data to break any ties, though the exact tie-breaking methodology is not publicly disclosed. The market resolves based on the single film displayed in the #1 position on the website.
Netflix's data is first-party, coming directly from its own platform, and includes global viewing. Nielsen's ratings, which cover the United States only, are based on a sample panel of TV households and include viewing on TV sets only, potentially missing mobile and computer viewing.
Yes. Netflix includes viewership from all accounts that had access to the service during the measurement period, which includes accounts on free trials or promotional offers, provided they can stream the full library.
Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.
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