Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIClimate and Weather

Oct 2026 temperature increase?

Total Volume

$565.76

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Oct 2026 temperature increase?

Vol

$565.76

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $565.76

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $565.76

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

6 markets tracked

Oct 2026 temperature increase? (1.30001 or above)

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Oct 2026 temperature increase? (1.30001 or above)	Kalshi	73%
Oct 2026 temperature increase? (1.24 to 1.30)	Kalshi	27%
Oct 2026 temperature increase? (1.17 to 1.23)	Kalshi	18%
Oct 2026 temperature increase? (1.10 to 1.16)	Kalshi	10%
Oct 2026 temperature increase? (1.03 to 1.09)	Kalshi	2%
Oct 2026 temperature increase? (1.02999 or below)	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

73%

Top Probability

$565.76

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

In Oct 2026 If the Land Ocean-Temperature Index for Oct 2026 is X Y then the market resolves to Yes.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Oct 2026 temperature increase?
**Category:** Climate and Weather | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** In Oct 2026

If the Land Ocean-Temperature Index for Oct 2026 is X Y then the market resolves to Yes.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the Land Ocean-Temperature Index for Oct 2026 is between 1.24-1.30, then the market resolves to Yes."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $566
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Oct 2026 temperature increase? (1.30001 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 13, 2027): Vol $209
  DATA: [Yes: 72.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 27.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Oct 2026 temperature increase? (1.02999 or below)
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 13, 2027): Vol $53
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Oct 2026 temperature increase? (1.24 to 1.30)
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 13, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 26.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Oct 2026 temperature increase? (1.17 to 1.23)
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 13, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 17.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Oct 2026 temperature increase? (1.10 to 1.16)
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 13, 2027): Vol $51
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Oct 2026 temperature increase? (1.03 to 1.09)
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 13, 2027): Vol $253
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIClimate and Weather

Oct 2026 temperature increase?

In Oct 2026 If the Land Ocean-Temperature Index for Oct 2026 is X Y then the market resolves to Yes.

Volume$565.76

Markets6

6 of 6

Sort:

KALSHI

Oct 2026 temperature increase? (1.30001 or above)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 72.5¢No 27.5¢

KALSHIClimate

Oct 2026 temperature increase? (1.30001 or above)

If the Land Ocean-Temperature Index for Oct 2026 is above 1.30, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Oct 2026 temperature increase? (1.24 to 1.30)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 26.5¢No 73.5¢

KALSHIClimate

Oct 2026 temperature increase? (1.24 to 1.30)

If the Land Ocean-Temperature Index for Oct 2026 is between 1.24-1.30, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Oct 2026 temperature increase? (1.17 to 1.23)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 17.5¢No 82.5¢

KALSHIClimate

Oct 2026 temperature increase? (1.17 to 1.23)

If the Land Ocean-Temperature Index for Oct 2026 is between 1.17-1.23, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Oct 2026 temperature increase? (1.10 to 1.16)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 10.0¢No 90.0¢

KALSHIClimate

Oct 2026 temperature increase? (1.10 to 1.16)

If the Land Ocean-Temperature Index for Oct 2026 is between 1.10-1.16, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Oct 2026 temperature increase? (1.03 to 1.09)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 2.0¢No 98.0¢

KALSHIClimate

Oct 2026 temperature increase? (1.03 to 1.09)

If the Land Ocean-Temperature Index for Oct 2026 is between 1.03-1.09, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

22¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/FrWP9I" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Oct 2026 temperature increase?"></iframe>

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Oct 2026 temperature increase?

Oct 2026 temperature increase?

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Oct 2026 temperature increase? (1.30001 or above)

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Oct 2026 temperature increase?

Markets (6)

Oct 2026 temperature increase? (1.30001 or above)

Oct 2026 temperature increase? (1.30001 or above)

Oct 2026 temperature increase? (1.24 to 1.30)

Oct 2026 temperature increase? (1.24 to 1.30)

Oct 2026 temperature increase? (1.17 to 1.23)

Oct 2026 temperature increase? (1.17 to 1.23)

Oct 2026 temperature increase? (1.10 to 1.16)

Oct 2026 temperature increase? (1.10 to 1.16)

Oct 2026 temperature increase? (1.03 to 1.09)

Oct 2026 temperature increase? (1.03 to 1.09)

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Oct 2026 temperature increase? (1.30001 or above)

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Oct 2026 temperature increase?

Oct 2026 temperature increase? (1.30001 or above)

Oct 2026 temperature increase? (1.30001 or above)

Oct 2026 temperature increase? (1.24 to 1.30)

Oct 2026 temperature increase? (1.24 to 1.30)

Oct 2026 temperature increase? (1.17 to 1.23)

Oct 2026 temperature increase? (1.17 to 1.23)

Oct 2026 temperature increase? (1.10 to 1.16)

Oct 2026 temperature increase? (1.10 to 1.16)

Oct 2026 temperature increase? (1.03 to 1.09)

Oct 2026 temperature increase? (1.03 to 1.09)

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