Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

EFL Championship: Team promoted to Premier League (2026-27)

Name: EFL Championship: Team promoted to Premier League (2026-27)
End: 2027-07-01T03:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$4.96

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

EFL Championship: Team promoted to Premier League (2026-27)

Vol

$4.96

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $4.96

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $4.96

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

23 markets tracked

Will Norwich City be promoted to Premier League?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(23)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Norwich City be promoted to Premier League?	Poly	51%
Will Bristol City be promoted to Premier League?	Poly	50%
Will Coventry City be promoted to Premier League?	Poly	50%
Will Derby County be promoted to Premier League?	Poly	50%
Will Hull City be promoted to Premier League?	Poly	50%
Will Ipswich Town be promoted to Premier League?	Poly	50%
Will Leicester City be promoted to Premier League?	Poly	50%
Will Oxford United be promoted to Premier League?	Poly	50%
Will Portsmouth be promoted to Premier League?	Poly	50%
Will Preston North End be promoted to Premier League?	Poly	50%
Will Queens Park Rangers be promoted to Premier League?	Poly	50%
Will Stoke City be promoted to Premier League?	Poly	49%
Will Birmingham City be promoted to Premier League?	Poly	48%
Will Sheffield United be promoted to Premier League?	Poly	48%
Will Watford be promoted to Premier League?	Poly	48%
Will West Bromwich Albion be promoted to Premier League?	Poly	48%
Will Middlesbrough be promoted to Premier League?	Poly	48%
Will Southampton be promoted to Premier League?	Poly	48%
Will Wrexham be promoted to Premier League?	Poly	48%
Will Blackburn Rovers be promoted to Premier League?	Poly	47%
Will Charlton Athletic be promoted to Premier League?	Poly	47%
Will Millwall be promoted to Premier League?	Poly	47%
Will Swansea City be promoted to Premier League?	Poly	47%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

51%

Top Probability

$4.96

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team achieves promotion from the EFL Championship to the Premier League for the 2027-28 season at the conclusion of the current league season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Official promotion is defined as a team clinching a place in the Premier League for the 2027-28 season through their final standing in the EFL Championship, via playoff victory, or by any other official league decision recognized by the EFL Championship and Premi

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** EFL Championship: Team promoted to Premier League (2026-27)
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jul 1, 2027 (263 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team achieves promotion from the EFL Championship to the Premier League for the 2027-28 season at the conclusion of the current league season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Official promotion is defined as a team clinching a place in the Premier League for the 2027-28 season through their final standing in the EFL Championship, via playoff victory, or by any other official league decision recognized by the EFL Championship and Premi

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team achieves promotion from the EFL Championship to the Premier League for the 2027-28 season at the conclusion of the current league season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Official promotion is defined as a team clinching a place in th"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $5
* **Total Liquidity:** $81
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.06)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Birmingham City be promoted to Premier League?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 48.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Blackburn Rovers be promoted to Premier League?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 47.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 53.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Bristol City be promoted to Premier League?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Charlton Athletic be promoted to Premier League?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 53.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Coventry City be promoted to Premier League?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Derby County be promoted to Premier League?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Hull City be promoted to Premier League?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Ipswich Town be promoted to Premier League?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Leicester City be promoted to Premier League?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Middlesbrough be promoted to Premier League?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Millwall be promoted to Premier League?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 53.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Norwich City be promoted to Premier League?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Oxford United be promoted to Premier League?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Portsmouth be promoted to Premier League?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Preston North End be promoted to Premier League?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Queens Park Rangers be promoted to Premier League?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Sheffield United be promoted to Premier League?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 48.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Southampton be promoted to Premier League?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Stoke City be promoted to Premier League?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Swansea City be promoted to Premier League?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 53.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Watford be promoted to Premier League?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 48.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.0% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will West Bromwich Albion be promoted to Premier League?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 48.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.0% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Wrexham be promoted to Premier League?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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