Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Counter-Strike: Overtake vs Iowa Stormboar (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #3 Playoffs

Name: Counter-Strike: Overtake vs Iowa Stormboar (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #3 Playoffs
End: 2026-10-13T07:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$417.71

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Markets

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Counter-Strike: Overtake vs Iowa Stormboar (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #3 Playoffs

Vol

$417.71

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $417.71

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $417.71

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

8 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Map Handicap: OT (-1.5) vs Iowa Stormboar (+1.5)

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Map Handicap: OT (-1.5) vs Iowa Stormboar (+1.5)	Poly	50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5	Poly	50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5	Poly	50%
Counter-Strike: Overtake vs Iowa Stormboar (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #3 Playoffs	Poly	50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5	Poly	50%
Counter-Strike: Overtake vs Iowa Stormboar - Map 2 Winner	Poly	45%
Counter-Strike: Overtake vs Iowa Stormboar - Map 1 Winner	Poly	45%
Games Total: Over/Under 2.5	Poly	28%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

50%

Top Probability

$417.71

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower Bracket Semifinal match between Overtake and Iowa Stormboar in the ESL Challenger League North America Cup #3 Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Overtake" if Overtake win the match against Iowa Stormboar. This market will resolve to "Iowa Stormboar" if Iowa Stormboar win the match against Overtake. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Counter-Strike: Overtake vs Iowa Stormboar (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #3 Playoffs
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 13, 2026 (1 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Critical

**Description:** This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower Bracket Semifinal match between Overtake and Iowa Stormboar in the ESL Challenger League North America Cup #3 Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Overtake" if Overtake win the match against Iowa Stormboar.

This market will resolve to "Iowa Stormboar" if Iowa Stormboar win the match against Overtake.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower Bracket Semifinal match between Overtake and Iowa Stormboar in the ESL Challenger League North America Cup #3 Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Overtake" if Overtake win Map 1 against Iowa St"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $418
* **Total Liquidity:** $9.3K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.04)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Counter-Strike: Overtake vs Iowa Stormboar - Map 1 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Overtake: 44.5% (0.0%)] | [Iowa Stormboar: 55.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Counter-Strike: Overtake vs Iowa Stormboar - Map 2 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Overtake: 45.0% (0.0%)] | [Iowa Stormboar: 55.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Counter-Strike: Overtake vs Iowa Stormboar (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #3 Playoffs
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $418
  DATA: [Overtake: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [Iowa Stormboar: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Games Total: Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 28.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 72.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Map Handicap: OT (-1.5) vs Iowa Stormboar (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Overtake: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Iowa Stormboar: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports