Maduro guilty of all counts? | PredictPedia

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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETWorld

Maduro guilty of all counts?

Name: Maduro guilty of all counts?
End: 2027-12-31T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$93.39K

Events

Markets

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Maduro guilty of all counts?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $93.39K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $93.39K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

Maduro guilty of all counts?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Maduro guilty of all counts?	Poly	36%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

36%

Top Probability

$93.39K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl). If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the refer

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, March 2, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Maduro guilty of all counts?
**Category:** World | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Dec 31, 2027 (669 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).

If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the refer

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the ini"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $93.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $6.7K
* **Activity Level:** High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 13.95)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Maduro guilty of all counts?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $93.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 36.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

668d 3h remaining

Dec 31, 2027 12:00 AM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

36¢

Polymarket

Arbitrage Opps

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Maduro guilty of all counts?

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Maduro guilty of all counts?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)