Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Union Gilloise vs Real Sociedad: Spread

Total Volume

$200.62

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Markets

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Union Gilloise vs Real Sociedad: Spread

Vol

$200.62

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $200.62

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $200.62

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

4 markets tracked

Union Gilloise wins by more than 1.5 goals?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(4)

Market	Platform	Price
Union Gilloise wins by more than 1.5 goals?	Kalshi	20%
Real Sociedad wins by more than 1.5 goals?	Kalshi	16%
Union Gilloise wins by more than 2.5 goals?	Kalshi	7%
Real Sociedad wins by more than 2.5 goals?	Kalshi	6%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

20%

Top Probability

$200.62

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

USG vs RSO (Oct 15) If Union Gilloise wins by more than X goals in the Union Gilloise vs Real Sociedad professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Union Gilloise vs Real Sociedad: Spread
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** USG vs RSO (Oct 15)

If Union Gilloise wins by more than X goals in the Union Gilloise vs Real Sociedad professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Union Gilloise wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Union Gilloise vs Real Sociedad professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi i"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $201
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Union Gilloise wins by more than 2.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Union Gilloise wins by more than 1.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $201
  DATA: [Yes: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Real Sociedad wins by more than 2.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Real Sociedad wins by more than 1.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 15.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Union Gilloise vs Real Sociedad: Spread

Volume$200.62

Markets4

4 of 4

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KALSHI

Union Gilloise wins by more than 1.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 19.5¢No 80.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Union Gilloise wins by more than 1.5 goals?

If Union Gilloise wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Union Gilloise vs Real Sociedad professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi i

KALSHI

Real Sociedad wins by more than 1.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 15.5¢No 84.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Real Sociedad wins by more than 1.5 goals?

If Real Sociedad wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Union Gilloise vs Real Sociedad professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is

KALSHI

Union Gilloise wins by more than 2.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 7.0¢No 93.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Union Gilloise wins by more than 2.5 goals?

If Union Gilloise wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Union Gilloise vs Real Sociedad professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi i

KALSHI

Real Sociedad wins by more than 2.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 6.0¢No 94.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Real Sociedad wins by more than 2.5 goals?

If Real Sociedad wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Union Gilloise vs Real Sociedad professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is

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12¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/Fzri2z" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Union Gilloise vs Real Sociedad: Spread"></iframe>

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Union Gilloise vs Real Sociedad: Spread

Union Gilloise vs Real Sociedad: Spread

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Union Gilloise wins by more than 1.5 goals?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Union Gilloise vs Real Sociedad: Spread

Markets (4)

Union Gilloise wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Union Gilloise wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Real Sociedad wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Real Sociedad wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Union Gilloise wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Union Gilloise wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Real Sociedad wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Real Sociedad wins by more than 2.5 goals?

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Union Gilloise wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Union Gilloise vs Real Sociedad: Spread

Union Gilloise wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Union Gilloise wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Real Sociedad wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Real Sociedad wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Union Gilloise wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Union Gilloise wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Real Sociedad wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Real Sociedad wins by more than 2.5 goals?

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