Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

China unemployment rate in September

Total Volume

$5.64K

Events

Markets

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China unemployment rate in September

Vol

$5.64K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $5.64K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $5.64K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

11 markets tracked

China unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.9%)

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
China unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.9%)	Kalshi	98%
China unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.8%)	Kalshi	98%
China unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.0%)	Kalshi	97%
China unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.1%)	Kalshi	55%
China unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.2%)	Kalshi	38%
China unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.3%)	Kalshi	26%
China unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.5%)	Kalshi	4%
China unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.6%)	Kalshi	3%
China unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.8%)	Kalshi	2%
China unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.7%)	Kalshi	1%
China unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.4%)	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

98%

Top Probability

$5.64K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

China UE Sep 2026 If the China unemployment rate is above X for September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** China unemployment rate in September
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** China UE Sep 2026

If the China unemployment rate is above X for September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the China unemployment rate is above 5.8% for September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $5.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. China unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.8%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. China unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.7%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $33
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. China unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.6%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. China unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.5%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $212
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. China unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.4%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $213
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. China unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.3%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $741
  DATA: [Yes: 25.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. China unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.2%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $763
  DATA: [Yes: 37.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. China unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.1%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $316
  DATA: [Yes: 55.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 45.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. China unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.0%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $776
  DATA: [Yes: 97.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. China unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.9%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $2.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 98.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. China unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.8%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 97.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

China unemployment rate in September

Volume$5.64K

Markets11

11 of 11

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KALSHI

China unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.9%)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 98.0¢No 2.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

China unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.9%)

If the China unemployment rate is above 4.9% for September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

China unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.8%)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 97.5¢No 2.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

China unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.8%)

If the China unemployment rate is above 4.8% for September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

China unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.0%)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 97.0¢No 3.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

China unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.0%)

If the China unemployment rate is above 5.0% for September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

China unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.1%)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 55.0¢No 45.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

China unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.1%)

If the China unemployment rate is above 5.1% for September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

China unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.2%)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 37.5¢No 62.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

China unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.2%)

If the China unemployment rate is above 5.2% for September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/G-G6FI" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="China unemployment rate in September"></iframe>

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China unemployment rate in September

China unemployment rate in September

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China unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.9%)

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Events (1)

China unemployment rate in September

Markets (11)

China unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.9%)

China unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.9%)

China unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.8%)

China unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.8%)

China unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.0%)

China unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.0%)

China unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.1%)

China unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.1%)

China unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.2%)

China unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.2%)

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China unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.9%)

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

China unemployment rate in September

China unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.9%)

China unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.9%)

China unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.8%)

China unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 4.8%)

China unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.0%)

China unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.0%)

China unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.1%)

China unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.1%)

China unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.2%)

China unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 5.2%)

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