Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

Georgia Governor election: Keisha Lance Bottoms vote percent (1st Round)

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$1.17K

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Georgia Governor election: Keisha Lance Bottoms vote percent (1st Round)

Vol

$1.17K

Events

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $1.17K

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0.0%avg

max 0.0%

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Volume DistributionTotal: $1.17K

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10 markets tracked

Will Keisha Lance Bottoms receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election?

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Single-Platform Markets(10)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Keisha Lance Bottoms receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election?	Kalshi	96%
Will Keisha Lance Bottoms receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election?	Kalshi	90%
Will Keisha Lance Bottoms receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election?	Kalshi	80%
Will Keisha Lance Bottoms receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election?	Kalshi	58%
Will Keisha Lance Bottoms receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election?	Kalshi	42%
Will Keisha Lance Bottoms receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election?	Kalshi	23%
Will Keisha Lance Bottoms receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election?	Kalshi	10%
Will Keisha Lance Bottoms receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election?	Kalshi	4%
Will Keisha Lance Bottoms receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election?	Kalshi	3%
Will Keisha Lance Bottoms receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election?	Kalshi	3%

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96%

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$1.17K

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About This Event

Vote Percent - Keisha Lance Bottoms If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Keisha Lance Bottoms in the first round of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election is X to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as, total votes received by Keisha Lance Bottoms ÷ total valid votes cast, × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not prelim

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Georgia Governor election: Keisha Lance Bottoms vote percent (1st Round)
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Vote Percent - Keisha Lance Bottoms

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Keisha Lance Bottoms in the first round of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election is X to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as, total votes received by Keisha Lance Bottoms ÷ total valid votes cast, × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not prelim

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Keisha Lance Bottoms in the first round of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election is 60% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Keish"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Keisha Lance Bottoms receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Keisha Lance Bottoms receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Keisha Lance Bottoms receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Keisha Lance Bottoms receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $382
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Keisha Lance Bottoms receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $18
  DATA: [Yes: 22.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Keisha Lance Bottoms receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $504
  DATA: [Yes: 41.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 58.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Keisha Lance Bottoms receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $267
  DATA: [Yes: 58.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 42.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Keisha Lance Bottoms receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 79.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 20.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Keisha Lance Bottoms receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 89.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 10.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Keisha Lance Bottoms receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 96.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

Georgia Governor election: Keisha Lance Bottoms vote percent (1st Round)

Volume$1.17K

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KALSHI

Will Keisha Lance Bottoms receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 96.0¢No 4.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Keisha Lance Bottoms receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Keisha Lance Bottoms in the first round of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election is 42% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Keish

KALSHI

Will Keisha Lance Bottoms receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 89.5¢No 10.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Keisha Lance Bottoms receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Keisha Lance Bottoms in the first round of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election is 44% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Keish

KALSHI

Will Keisha Lance Bottoms receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 79.5¢No 20.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Keisha Lance Bottoms receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Keisha Lance Bottoms in the first round of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election is 46% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Keish

KALSHI

Will Keisha Lance Bottoms receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 58.0¢No 42.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Keisha Lance Bottoms receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Keisha Lance Bottoms in the first round of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election is 48% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Keish

KALSHI

Will Keisha Lance Bottoms receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 41.5¢No 58.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Keisha Lance Bottoms receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Keisha Lance Bottoms in the first round of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election is 50% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Keish

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/G26173" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Georgia Governor election: Keisha Lance Bottoms vote percent (1st Round)"></iframe>

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Georgia Governor election: Keisha Lance Bottoms vote percent (1st Round)

Georgia Governor election: Keisha Lance Bottoms vote percent (1st Round)

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Will Keisha Lance Bottoms receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election?

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Events (1)

Georgia Governor election: Keisha Lance Bottoms vote percent (1st Round)

Markets (10)

Will Keisha Lance Bottoms receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election?

Will Keisha Lance Bottoms receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election?

Will Keisha Lance Bottoms receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election?

Will Keisha Lance Bottoms receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election?

Will Keisha Lance Bottoms receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election?

Will Keisha Lance Bottoms receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election?

Will Keisha Lance Bottoms receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election?

Will Keisha Lance Bottoms receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election?

Will Keisha Lance Bottoms receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election?

Will Keisha Lance Bottoms receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election?

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Will Keisha Lance Bottoms receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Georgia Governor election: Keisha Lance Bottoms vote percent (1st Round)

Will Keisha Lance Bottoms receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election?

Will Keisha Lance Bottoms receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election?

Will Keisha Lance Bottoms receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election?

Will Keisha Lance Bottoms receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election?

Will Keisha Lance Bottoms receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election?

Will Keisha Lance Bottoms receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election?

Will Keisha Lance Bottoms receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election?

Will Keisha Lance Bottoms receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election?

Will Keisha Lance Bottoms receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election?

Will Keisha Lance Bottoms receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election?

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