This event has ended. Showing historical data.
$11.64M
2
51
$11.64M
2
51
Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
Before 2029 If X is the first member of the Cabinet of Donald Trump to leave or announce they will leave, such as by quitting, being fired, or being impeached, then the market resolves to Yes. If two persons announce they intend to leave at the same time, then the one who leaves first will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No. If multiple persons both announce they intend to leave and leave at the same time as other members, then the one whose last name is alphabetically first will
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.
28 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Polymarket | Kalshi | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0% | 50% | 50% |
| 0% | 50% | 50% |
| 0% | 50% | 50% |
| 0% | 50% | 50% |
| 0% | 50% | 50% |
| 0% | 50% | 50% |
| 0% | 50% | 50% |
| 0% | 50% | 50% |
| 0% | 50% | 50% |
| 0% | 50% | 50% |
Different
Similar
Before 2029 If X is the first member of the Cabinet of Donald Trump to leave or announce they will leave, such as by quitting, being fired, or being impeached, then the market resolves to Yes. If two persons announce they intend to leave at the same time, then the one who leaves first will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No. If multiple persons both announce they intend to leave and leave at the same time as other members, then the one whose last name is alphabetically first will
This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect. If multiple individuals announce departures or are remo
This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. An announcement of an individual's resignatio
If Tulsi Gabbard is the first member of the Cabinet of Donald Trump to leave or announce they will leave (such as by quitting, being fired, or being impeached), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If two persons announce they intend to leave at the same time, then the one who leaves fi
This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. An announcement of an individual's resignatio
If Susie Wiles is the first member of the Cabinet of Donald Trump to leave or announce they will leave (such as by quitting, being fired, or being impeached), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If two persons announce they intend to leave at the same time, then the one who leaves firs
No related news found
Polymarket
$3.15M
Kalshi
$8.49M
Add this market to your website
<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/G2su2J" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?"></iframe>