Name: Will Audemars Piguet prices hit __ by April 30?
End: 2026-04-30T00:00:00.000Z

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Will Audemars Piguet prices hit __ by April 30? | PredictPedia

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Polymarket

markets · $63.91K

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markets · $0.00

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max 0.0%

Arbitrage

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Volume DistributionTotal: $63.91K

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12 markets tracked

Will the Audemars Piguet Index hit $41,750 (HIGH) by April 30?

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Single-Platform Markets(12)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the Audemars Piguet Index hit $41,750 (HIGH) by April 30?	Poly	50%
Will the Audemars Piguet Index hit $41,000 (LOW) by April 30?	Poly	20%
Will the Audemars Piguet Index hit $42,000 (HIGH) by April 30?	Poly	3%
Will the Audemars Piguet Index hit $40,500 (LOW) by April 30?	Poly	2%
Will the Audemars Piguet Index hit $42,500 (HIGH) by April 30?	Poly	1%
Will the Audemars Piguet Index hit $43,000 (HIGH) by April 30?	Poly	1%
Will the Audemars Piguet Index hit $40,250 (LOW) by April 30?	Poly	1%
Will the Audemars Piguet Index hit $40,000 (LOW) by April 30?	Poly	1%
Will the Audemars Piguet Index hit $42,250 (HIGH) by April 30?	Poly	1%
Will the Audemars Piguet Index hit $44,000 (HIGH) by April 30?	Poly	0%
Will the Audemars Piguet Index hit $39,000 (LOW) by April 30?	Poly	0%
Will the Audemars Piguet Index hit $40,750 (LOW) by April 30?	Poly	0%

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About This Event

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, for any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Audemars Piguet price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Subdial — specifically, the Audemars Piguet Index chart available at https://subdial.com/market. The daily values in USD shown on the chart will be used for resolution. This market refers to prices displayed in USD.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, May 15, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Will Audemars Piguet prices hit __ by April 30?
**Category:** Finance | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Apr 30, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve to “Yes” if, for any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Audemars Piguet price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market is Subdial — specifically, the Audemars Piguet Index chart available at https://subdial.com/market. The daily values in USD shown on the chart will be used for resolution. 

This market refers to prices displayed in USD. 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, for any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Audemars Piguet price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market is Subdial — specific"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $58.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $8.4K
* **Activity Level:** Moderate (Vol/Liq Ratio: 6.96)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the Audemars Piguet Index hit $43,000 (HIGH) by April 30?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 30, 2026): Vol $3.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.9% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the Audemars Piguet Index hit $41,750 (HIGH) by April 30?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 30, 2026): Vol $2.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 50.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.7% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the Audemars Piguet Index hit $40,500 (LOW) by April 30?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 30, 2026): Vol $449
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the Audemars Piguet Index hit $42,250 (HIGH) by April 30?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 30, 2026): Vol $5.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.1% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the Audemars Piguet Index hit $41,000 (LOW) by April 30?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 30, 2026): Vol $12.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the Audemars Piguet Index hit $40,000 (LOW) by April 30?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 30, 2026): Vol $3.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.1% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will the Audemars Piguet Index hit $42,500 (HIGH) by April 30?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 30, 2026): Vol $8.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.8% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will the Audemars Piguet Index hit $40,250 (LOW) by April 30?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 30, 2026): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will the Audemars Piguet Index hit $44,000 (HIGH) by April 30?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 30, 2026): Vol $10.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will the Audemars Piguet Index hit $42,000 (HIGH) by April 30?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 30, 2026): Vol $7.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.3% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will the Audemars Piguet Index hit $40,750 (LOW) by April 30?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 30, 2026): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will the Audemars Piguet Index hit $39,000 (LOW) by April 30?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 30, 2026): Vol $1.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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