Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

TSA passenger screenings on Oct 11, 2026

Total Volume

$18.74K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

TSA passenger screenings on Oct 11, 2026

Vol

$18.74K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $18.74K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $18.74K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

15 markets tracked

At least 1,800,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(15)

Market	Platform	Price
At least 1,800,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026?	Kalshi	100%
At least 2,000,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026?	Kalshi	99%
At least 1,900,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026?	Kalshi	99%
At least 2,600,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026?	Kalshi	99%
At least 2,500,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026?	Kalshi	99%
At least 2,400,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026?	Kalshi	99%
At least 2,300,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026?	Kalshi	99%
At least 2,200,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026?	Kalshi	99%
At least 2,100,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026?	Kalshi	99%
At least 2,700,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026?	Kalshi	94%
At least 2,800,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026?	Kalshi	58%
At least 2,900,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026?	Kalshi	10%
At least 3,000,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026?	Kalshi	3%
At least 3,200,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026?	Kalshi	2%
At least 3,100,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026?	Kalshi	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

100%

Top Probability

$18.74K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

October 11, 2026 If the first published number of nationwide TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026 is at least X passengers, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the nationwide checkpoint travel number reported on TSA’s Passenger Volumes page for the specified date, regardless of when it is published. The exact count is used without rounding. Only the first published value is used; later corrections and revisions are ignored. If publication is delayed, resolution waits for

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** TSA passenger screenings on Oct 11, 2026
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** October 11, 2026

If the first published number of nationwide TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026 is at least X passengers, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the nationwide checkpoint travel number reported on TSA’s Passenger Volumes page for the specified date, regardless of when it is published. The exact count is used without rounding. Only the first published value is used; later corrections and revisions are ignored. If publication is delayed, resolution waits for 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the first published number of nationwide TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026 is at least 3,200,000 passengers, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the nationwide checkpoint travel number reported on TSA’s Passenger Volumes page for the specified date, rega"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $18.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. At least 3,200,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $107
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. At least 3,100,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. At least 3,000,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. At least 2,900,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $900
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. At least 2,800,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $1.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 58.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 42.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. At least 2,700,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $51
  DATA: [Yes: 93.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. At least 2,600,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $94
  DATA: [Yes: 98.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. At least 2,500,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $94
  DATA: [Yes: 98.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. At least 2,400,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $94
  DATA: [Yes: 98.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. At least 2,300,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $400
  DATA: [Yes: 98.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. At least 2,200,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 98.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. At least 2,100,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 98.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. At least 2,000,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $4.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. At least 1,900,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $6.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. At least 1,800,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $5.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

TSA passenger screenings on Oct 11, 2026

Volume$18.74K

Markets15

15 of 15

Sort:

KALSHI

At least 1,800,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

At least 1,800,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026?

If the first published number of nationwide TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026 is at least 1,800,000 passengers, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the nationwide checkpoint travel number reported on TSA’s Passenger Volumes page for the specified date, rega

KALSHI

At least 2,000,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.0¢No 1.0¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

At least 2,000,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026?

If the first published number of nationwide TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026 is at least 2,000,000 passengers, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the nationwide checkpoint travel number reported on TSA’s Passenger Volumes page for the specified date, rega

KALSHI

At least 1,900,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.0¢No 1.0¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

At least 1,900,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026?

If the first published number of nationwide TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026 is at least 1,900,000 passengers, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the nationwide checkpoint travel number reported on TSA’s Passenger Volumes page for the specified date, rega

KALSHI

At least 2,600,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 98.5¢No 1.5¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

At least 2,600,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026?

If the first published number of nationwide TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026 is at least 2,600,000 passengers, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the nationwide checkpoint travel number reported on TSA’s Passenger Volumes page for the specified date, rega

KALSHI

At least 2,500,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 98.5¢No 1.5¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

At least 2,500,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026?

If the first published number of nationwide TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026 is at least 2,500,000 passengers, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the nationwide checkpoint travel number reported on TSA’s Passenger Volumes page for the specified date, rega

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70¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/GBRXsJ" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="TSA passenger screenings on Oct 11, 2026"></iframe>

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TSA passenger screenings on Oct 11, 2026

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At least 1,800,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026?

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Events (1)

TSA passenger screenings on Oct 11, 2026

Markets (15)

At least 1,800,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026?

At least 1,800,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026?

At least 2,000,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026?

At least 2,000,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026?

At least 1,900,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026?

At least 1,900,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026?

At least 2,600,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026?

At least 2,600,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026?

At least 2,500,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026?

At least 2,500,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026?

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At least 1,800,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

TSA passenger screenings on Oct 11, 2026

At least 1,800,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026?

At least 1,800,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026?

At least 2,000,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026?

At least 2,000,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026?

At least 1,900,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026?

At least 1,900,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026?

At least 2,600,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026?

At least 2,600,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026?

At least 2,500,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026?

At least 2,500,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 11, 2026?

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