Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETTech

Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

Name: Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?
End: 2028-01-01T04:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$76.61K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

Vol

$76.61K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $76.61K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $76.61K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

2 markets tracked

Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(2)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?	Poly	44%
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	Poly	14%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

44%

Top Probability

$76.61K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic, or an official representative of Anthropic, announces that Anthropic has solved any of the qualifying Millennium Prize Problems by 11:59 PM ET of the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The qualifying problems are the Riemann Hypothesis, P versus NP, the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem, the Hodge Conjecture, and the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture (https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/).

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?
**Category:** Tech | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 1, 2028 (447 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic, or an official representative of Anthropic, announces that Anthropic has solved any of the qualifying Millennium Prize Problems by 11:59 PM ET of the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The qualifying problems are the Riemann Hypothesis, P versus NP, the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem, the Hodge Conjecture, and the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture (https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/).

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic, or an official representative of Anthropic, announces that Anthropic has solved any of the qualifying Millennium Prize Problems by 11:59 PM ET of the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The qualifying problems are"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $24.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $3.6K
* **Activity Level:** Moderate (Vol/Liq Ratio: 6.83)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $18.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 14.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $6.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 43.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 56.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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