Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Al Gharafa vs Esteghlal

Total Volume

$75.88

Events

Markets

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Al Gharafa vs Esteghlal

Vol

$75.88

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $75.88

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $75.88

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Esteghlal wins

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Esteghlal wins	Kalshi	41%
Al Gharafa wins	Kalshi	35%
Tie is the result	Kalshi	24%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

41%

Top Probability

$75.88

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

ALG vs EST (Oct 12) If X wins the Al Gharafa vs Esteghlal professional AFC Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Al Gharafa vs Esteghlal professional AFC Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties. If the game ends in a t

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Al Gharafa vs Esteghlal
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** ALG vs EST (Oct 12)

If X wins the Al Gharafa vs Esteghlal professional AFC Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Al Gharafa vs Esteghlal professional AFC Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties. If the game ends in a t

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Tie is the result of the Al Gharafa vs Esteghlal professional AFC Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $76
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Tie is the result
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 24.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Esteghlal wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $76
  DATA: [Yes: 40.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Al Gharafa wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 35.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 65.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Al Gharafa vs Esteghlal

Volume$75.88

Markets3

3 of 3

Sort:

KALSHI

Esteghlal wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 40.5¢No 59.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Esteghlal wins

If Esteghlal wins the Al Gharafa vs Esteghlal professional AFC Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Al Gh

KALSHI

Al Gharafa wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 35.0¢No 65.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Al Gharafa wins

If Al Gharafa wins the Al Gharafa vs Esteghlal professional AFC Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Al G

KALSHI

Tie is the result

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 24.0¢No 76.0¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Tie is the result

If Tie is the result of the Al Gharafa vs Esteghlal professional AFC Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the

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Average Yes Price

33¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/GDnS0m" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Al Gharafa vs Esteghlal"></iframe>

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Al Gharafa vs Esteghlal

Al Gharafa vs Esteghlal

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Esteghlal wins

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Al Gharafa vs Esteghlal

Markets (3)

Esteghlal wins

Esteghlal wins

Al Gharafa wins

Al Gharafa wins

Tie is the result

Tie is the result

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Esteghlal wins

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Al Gharafa vs Esteghlal

Esteghlal wins

Esteghlal wins

Al Gharafa wins

Al Gharafa wins

Tie is the result

Tie is the result

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