Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETFinance

What will BlackRock say during their next earnings call?

Name: What will BlackRock say during their next earnings call?
End: 2026-10-15T03:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$3.21K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

What will BlackRock say during their next earnings call?

Vol

$3.21K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $3.21K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $3.21K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

14 markets tracked

Will BlackRock say "Quarter" 15+ times during earnings call?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(14)

Market	Platform	Price
Will BlackRock say "Quarter" 15+ times during earnings call?	Poly	98%
Will BlackRock say "Systematic" during earnings call?	Poly	98%
Will BlackRock say "Shareholder" during earnings call?	Poly	98%
Will BlackRock say "Index" during earnings call?	Poly	96%
Will BlackRock say "Insurance" during earnings call?	Poly	96%
Will BlackRock say "Growth" 5+ times during earnings call?	Poly	94%
Will BlackRock say "Margin" during earnings call?	Poly	93%
Will BlackRock say "ETF" during earnings call?	Poly	84%
Will BlackRock say "Retirement" during earnings call?	Poly	75%
Will BlackRock say "Infrastructure" during earnings call?	Poly	75%
Will BlackRock say "Client" 10+ times during earnings call?	Poly	60%
Will BlackRock say "Trump" during earnings call?	Poly	31%
Will BlackRock say "Bubble" during earnings call?	Poly	7%
Will the earnings call not air?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

98%

Top Probability

$3.21K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of BlackRock currently scheduled to take place on October 14, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** What will BlackRock say during their next earnings call?
**Category:** Finance | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 15, 2026 (4 days left)
**Time Pressure:** High

**Description:** This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of BlackRock currently scheduled to take place on October 14, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be audio of the event.

For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of BlackRock currently scheduled to take place on October 14, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

The resoluti"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $3.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $4.0K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.80)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will BlackRock say "Quarter" 15+ times during earnings call?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $438
  DATA: [Yes: 98.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.8% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will BlackRock say "Client" 10+ times during earnings call?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $90
  DATA: [Yes: 59.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 40.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will BlackRock say "Growth" 5+ times during earnings call?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $668
  DATA: [Yes: 93.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.1% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will BlackRock say "Insurance" during earnings call?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 95.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will BlackRock say "Retirement" during earnings call?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 74.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 25.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will BlackRock say "Infrastructure" during earnings call?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 74.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 25.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will BlackRock say "Margin" during earnings call?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $731
  DATA: [Yes: 92.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 7.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will BlackRock say "Trump" during earnings call?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $53
  DATA: [Yes: 31.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 69.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will BlackRock say "Systematic" during earnings call?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $230
  DATA: [Yes: 97.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.4% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will BlackRock say "ETF" during earnings call?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $208
  DATA: [Yes: 84.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 16.1% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will BlackRock say "Shareholder" during earnings call?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $90
  DATA: [Yes: 97.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will BlackRock say "Bubble" during earnings call?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will BlackRock say "Index" during earnings call?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $431
  DATA: [Yes: 96.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.9% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will the earnings call not air?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $268
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETFinance