Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIScience and Technology

Next pandemic

Total Volume

$15.56K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Next pandemic

Vol

$15.56K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $15.56K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $15.56K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Pandemic by Dec 31, 2029?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Pandemic by Dec 31, 2029?	Kalshi	21%
Pandemic by Dec 31, 2028?	Kalshi	18%
Pandemic by Dec 31, 2027?	Kalshi	13%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

21%

Top Probability

$15.56K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

WHO designation If the WHO identifies any disease as a pandemic after issuance and by Dec 31, X then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: If this event occurs, the market will close the following 10:00 AM ET. If this event occurs, the market will close the following 10:00 AM ET.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Next pandemic
**Category:** Science and Technology | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** WHO designation

If the WHO identifies any disease as a pandemic after issuance and by Dec 31, X then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: If this event occurs, the market will close the following 10:00 AM ET. If this event occurs, the market will close the following 10:00 AM ET.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the WHO identifies any disease as a pandemic after issuance and by Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: If this event occurs, the market will close the following 10:00 AM ET."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $15.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Pandemic by Dec 31, 2029?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2029): Vol $2.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 21.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Pandemic by Dec 31, 2028?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2028): Vol $5.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 18.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Pandemic by Dec 31, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $7.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIScience and Technology

Next pandemic

Volume$15.56K

Markets3

3 of 3

Sort:

KALSHI

Pandemic by Dec 31, 2029?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 21.0¢No 79.0¢

KALSHIHealth

Pandemic by Dec 31, 2029?

If the WHO identifies any disease as a pandemic after issuance and by Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: If this event occurs, the market will close the following 10:00 AM ET.

KALSHI

Pandemic by Dec 31, 2028?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 18.0¢No 82.0¢

KALSHIHealth

Pandemic by Dec 31, 2028?

If the WHO identifies any disease as a pandemic after issuance and by Dec 31, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: If this event occurs, the market will close the following 10:00 AM ET.

KALSHI

Pandemic by Dec 31, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 12.5¢No 87.5¢

KALSHIHealth

Pandemic by Dec 31, 2027?

If the WHO identifies any disease as a pandemic after issuance and by Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: If this event occurs, the market will close the following 10:00 AM ET.

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17¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/GG42a-" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Next pandemic"></iframe>

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Next pandemic

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Pandemic by Dec 31, 2029?

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Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Next pandemic

Markets (3)

Pandemic by Dec 31, 2029?

Pandemic by Dec 31, 2029?

Pandemic by Dec 31, 2028?

Pandemic by Dec 31, 2028?

Pandemic by Dec 31, 2027?

Pandemic by Dec 31, 2027?

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Pandemic by Dec 31, 2029?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Next pandemic

Pandemic by Dec 31, 2029?

Pandemic by Dec 31, 2029?

Pandemic by Dec 31, 2028?

Pandemic by Dec 31, 2028?

Pandemic by Dec 31, 2027?

Pandemic by Dec 31, 2027?

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