Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
PM $0
1
1
Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
PM $0
1
1
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $0
Reported volume · provider units
1
Saved contracts
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Ethereum, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ETH/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/eth-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ETH/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-19T06:00:06.076Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The market, "Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET," is listed on Polymarket [1]. According to the source excerpt, it resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Ethereum, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is the ETH/USD TWAP data stream, and the excerpt states that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ETH/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. Contracts that use a different benchmark, window, or closing time measure something different, so they should not be read as the same question. This market's listed end time is 2026-10-20T05:05:00.000Z [1].
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed this market at 2026-10-19T06:00:06.076Z, and the record was retrieved at 2026-10-19T07:51:24.930Z [1]. These are snapshot times. They are not the contract's closing time or its resolution time. At observation, the Up outcome was priced at 0.505 and the Down outcome at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The 0.01 difference between them describes this one record only.
The sample contains one market from one provider event. Coverage lists 1 market out of 1 total, with no partial sample [1]. Because the sample has a single contract, this snapshot offers no cross-platform or cross-contract comparison.
What remains uncertain
The record does not include trading volume, so it provides no evidence about liquidity or the number of participants. It also does not explain why the prices were at those levels when observed. The provider's sample warning states that all saved markets for this event are included, but "This does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1].
The retrieval time of 2026-10-19T07:51:24.930Z falls before the listed end time, and the record contains no resolved result. The status shown, "active," describes the provider record at observation, not the market's status today.
References
- Polymarket: Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-19T06:00:06.076Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 19, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-term crypto contract on Polymarket titled "Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET" [1]. The contract asks whether Ethereum's price moves up or down over a five-minute window. Under its rules, it resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Ethereum, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is Chainlink's ETH/USD TWAP data stream, which the rules identify by a named stream on Chainlink's data site [1]. The rules state that the market concerns the price according to that Chainlink TWAP data stream for the ETH/USD pair, and not any other source or spot market [1]. A reader should therefore treat the contract as tied to that specific data feed, not to ether prices on exchanges in general. The contract's listed end time is 2026-10-20T05:05:00Z, which corresponds to the 1:05 AM ET end of the window named in the title [1]. That listed time is the scheduled close of the trading window. It is not evidence of how the market settled, and the supplied material does not include a resolution outcome. The source record shows the provider status as active when it was retrieved [1]. The dated snapshot elsewhere on this page reflects the provider observation and retrieval times, and it should be read as a point-in-time record rather than a live view of the contract.
Why It Matters
The contract measures the direction of a short-window ETH/USD price change as recorded by one specific data feed. Because it compares the TWAP over the window with the price at the start of that window, a small move in either direction decides the outcome, and the rules treat an unchanged price as "Up" [1]. Anyone reading the contract should check the Chainlink data stream named in the rules, since the market does not reference other exchanges or spot markets [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-19 at 06:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this contract resolves Up or Down?
The contract resolves to "Up" if the Chainlink-generated TWAP for ETH/USD over the stated time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1].
Which data source is used to settle the market?
The resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the ETH/USD TWAP data stream [1].
Does the contract use prices from other exchanges or spot markets?
No. The rules state that the market is about the price according to the Chainlink TWAP data stream for ETH/USD, not any other sources or spot markets [1].
When does the trading window end?
The listed end time is 2026-10-20T05:05:00Z, which matches 1:05 AM ET on October 20 as stated in the title [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
PM $112.22M · K 24.56M contractsWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
Kalshi: Will Bitcoin be above $99,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?
Related contracts
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
Kalshi: Will Bitcoin be below $55000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET?
Related contracts
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
Kalshi: Will Bitcoin be above $109,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?
Related contracts
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
PM $0Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
PM $0
Solana Up or Down - October 20, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
PM $0
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
PM $0
BNB Up or Down - October 20, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
PM $0Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
0
No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.