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How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030?

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How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030?

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How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030? (At least 440)

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Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030? (At least 440)	Kalshi	85%
How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030? (At least 445)	Kalshi	27%
How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030? (At least 450)	Kalshi	18%
How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030? (At least 455)	Kalshi	8%
How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030? (At least 460)	Kalshi	5%

AI Analysis

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About This Event

Before 2030 If the atmospheric concentration of CO2 is at least X before Jan 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030?
**Category:** World | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before 2030

If the atmospheric concentration of CO2 is at least X before Jan 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the atmospheric concentration of CO2 is at least 460 before Jan 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030? (At least 460)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 16, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030? (At least 455)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 16, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030? (At least 450)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 16, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 17.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030? (At least 445)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 16, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 27.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030? (At least 440)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 16, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 84.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 15.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIWorld

How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030?

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KALSHI

How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030? (At least 440)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 84.5¢No 15.5¢

KALSHIOther

How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030? (At least 440)

If the atmospheric concentration of CO2 is at least 440 before Jan 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030? (At least 445)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 27.0¢No 73.0¢

KALSHIOther

How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030? (At least 445)

If the atmospheric concentration of CO2 is at least 445 before Jan 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030? (At least 450)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 17.5¢No 82.5¢

KALSHIOther

How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030? (At least 450)

If the atmospheric concentration of CO2 is at least 450 before Jan 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030? (At least 455)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 7.5¢No 92.5¢

KALSHIOther

How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030? (At least 455)

If the atmospheric concentration of CO2 is at least 455 before Jan 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030? (At least 460)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 5.0¢No 95.0¢

KALSHIOther

How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030? (At least 460)

If the atmospheric concentration of CO2 is at least 460 before Jan 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

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How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030? (At least 440)

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Events (1)

How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030?

Markets (5)

How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030? (At least 440)

How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030? (At least 440)

How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030? (At least 445)

How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030? (At least 445)

How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030? (At least 450)

How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030? (At least 450)

How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030? (At least 455)

How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030? (At least 455)

How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030? (At least 460)

How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030? (At least 460)

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How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030? (At least 440)

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030?

How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030? (At least 440)

How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030? (At least 440)

How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030? (At least 445)

How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030? (At least 445)

How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030? (At least 450)

How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030? (At least 450)

How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030? (At least 455)

How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030? (At least 455)

How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030? (At least 460)

How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030? (At least 460)

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