Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes vs Alexander Chang

Name: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes vs Alexander Chang
End: 2026-10-19T07:30:00.000Z

Total Volume

$238.41

Events

Markets

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M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes vs Alexander Chang

Vol

$238.41

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $238.41

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $238.41

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes vs Alexander Chang

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes vs Alexander Chang	Poly	61%
Set Handicap: Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes (-1.5) vs Alexander Chang (+1.5)	Poly	50%
Set Handicap: Alexander Chang (-1.5) vs Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes (+1.5)	Poly	50%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

61%

Top Probability

$238.41

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the tennis match between Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes and Alexander Chang in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes' if Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes advances against Alexander Chang. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Chang' if Alexander Chang advances against Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a w

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes vs Alexander Chang
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 19, 2026 (8 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market refers to the tennis match between Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes and Alexander Chang in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 3:30AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes' if Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes advances against Alexander Chang.

This market will resolve to 'Alexander Chang' if Alexander Chang advances against Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a w

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the tennis match between Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes and Alexander Chang in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 3:30AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes' if Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes advances agai"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $238
* **Total Liquidity:** $1.1K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.21)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes vs Alexander Chang
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $238
  DATA: [Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes: 60.5% (0.0%)] | [Alexander Chang: 39.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Set Handicap: Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes (-1.5) vs Alexander Chang (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [Alexander Chang: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Set Handicap: Alexander Chang (-1.5) vs Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Alexander Chang: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes: 50.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes vs Alexander Chang

Volume$238.41

Markets3

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POLYMARKET

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes vs Alexander Chang

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes vs Alexander Chang

LiquidityLOW

Health Score20/100

Leading Outcome60.5%

Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes

POLYMARKET

Set Handicap: Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes (-1.5) vs Alexander Chang (+1.5)

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set Handicap: Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes (-1.5) vs Alexander Chang (+1.5)

This market refers to the tennis match between Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes and Alexander Chang in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes" if Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes wins by 2 or more sets tha

POLYMARKET

Set Handicap: Alexander Chang (-1.5) vs Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes (+1.5)

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set Handicap: Alexander Chang (-1.5) vs Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes (+1.5)

This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Chang and Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Alexander Chang" if Alexander Chang wins by 2 or more sets than Luis Carlos Alvarez

LiquidityLOW

Health Score15/100

Leading Outcome50.5%

Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes

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Oct 19, 2026, 7:30 AM UTC

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

53¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/GSL4rY" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes vs Alexander Chang"></iframe>

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M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes vs Alexander Chang

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes vs Alexander Chang

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M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes vs Alexander Chang

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Educational Context

Events (1)

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes vs Alexander Chang

Markets (3)

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes vs Alexander Chang

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes vs Alexander Chang

Set Handicap: Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes (-1.5) vs Alexander Chang (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes (-1.5) vs Alexander Chang (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Alexander Chang (-1.5) vs Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Alexander Chang (-1.5) vs Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes (+1.5)

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M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes vs Alexander Chang

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M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes vs Alexander Chang

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes vs Alexander Chang

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes vs Alexander Chang

Set Handicap: Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes (-1.5) vs Alexander Chang (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes (-1.5) vs Alexander Chang (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Alexander Chang (-1.5) vs Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Alexander Chang (-1.5) vs Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes (+1.5)

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