Name: Super Rugby Pacific: Waratahs vs Reds
End: 2026-02-20T08:35:00.000Z

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Super Rugby Pacific: Waratahs vs Reds | PredictPedia

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3 markets tracked

Will Waratahs win?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Waratahs win?	Poly	56%
Will Reds win?	Poly	45%
Will the match end in a draw?	Poly	22%

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, February 22, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Super Rugby Pacific: Waratahs vs Reds
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Feb 20, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This event is for the upcoming Super Rugby Pacific match between Waratahs and Reds, scheduled for February 13 2026.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming game, scheduled for February 13 2026
If Waratahs wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, thi"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $6.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $1.4K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 4.45)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Waratahs win?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 20, 2026): Vol $208
  DATA: [Yes: 55.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 44.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the match end in a draw?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 20, 2026): Vol $6.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 21.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Reds win?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 20, 2026): Vol $238
  DATA: [Yes: 44.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 55.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

41¢

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Super Rugby Pacific: Waratahs vs Reds

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Will Waratahs win?

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Events (1)

Super Rugby Pacific: Waratahs vs Reds

Markets (3)

Will Waratahs win?

Will Waratahs win?

Will Reds win?

Will Reds win?

Will the match end in a draw?

Will the match end in a draw?

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Will Waratahs win?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Super Rugby Pacific: Waratahs vs Reds

Will Waratahs win?

Will Waratahs win?

Will Reds win?

Will Reds win?

Will the match end in a draw?

Will the match end in a draw?

Related News & Context

Discussion

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