Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

Brazil President, Israel PM & U.S. Senate combo

Total Volume

$2.75K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Brazil President, Israel PM & U.S. Senate combo

Vol

$2.75K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $2.75K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $2.75K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

12 markets tracked

Will Brazil President be Flávio Bolsonaro AND Israel Prime Minister be Gadi Eizenkot AND U.S. Senate Control be Democratic?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(12)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Brazil President be Flávio Bolsonaro AND Israel Prime Minister be Gadi Eizenkot AND U.S. Senate Control be Democratic?	Kalshi	21%
Will Brazil President be Flávio Bolsonaro AND Israel Prime Minister be Benjamin Netanyahu AND U.S. Senate Control be Democratic?	Kalshi	19%
Will Brazil President be Flávio Bolsonaro AND Israel Prime Minister be Benjamin Netanyahu AND U.S. Senate Control be Republican?	Kalshi	18%
Will Brazil President be Flávio Bolsonaro AND Israel Prime Minister be Gadi Eizenkot AND U.S. Senate Control be Republican?	Kalshi	15%
Will Brazil President be Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva AND Israel Prime Minister be Gadi Eizenkot AND U.S. Senate Control be Democratic?	Kalshi	5%
Will Brazil President be Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva AND Israel Prime Minister be Benjamin Netanyahu AND U.S. Senate Control be Democratic?	Kalshi	5%
Will Brazil President be Flávio Bolsonaro AND Israel Prime Minister be Naftali Bennett AND U.S. Senate Control be Democratic?	Kalshi	5%
Will Brazil President be Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva AND Israel Prime Minister be Gadi Eizenkot AND U.S. Senate Control be Republican?	Kalshi	4%
Will Brazil President be Flávio Bolsonaro AND Israel Prime Minister be Naftali Bennett AND U.S. Senate Control be Republican?	Kalshi	4%
Will Brazil President be Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva AND Israel Prime Minister be Naftali Bennett AND U.S. Senate Control be Republican?	Kalshi	3%
Will Brazil President be Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva AND Israel Prime Minister be Naftali Bennett AND U.S. Senate Control be Democratic?	Kalshi	3%
Will Brazil President be Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva AND Israel Prime Minister be Benjamin Netanyahu AND U.S. Senate Control be Republican?	Kalshi	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

21%

Top Probability

$2.75K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Before Oct 27, 2027 If ALL of the following occur: Brazil President: Luiz Inácio Lula da X then the market resolves to Yes. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Brazil President, BRPRES, Israel Prime Minister, GOVHEAD, U.S. Senate Control, CONTROL. All

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Brazil President, Israel PM & U.S. Senate combo
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before Oct 27, 2027

If ALL of the following occur: Brazil President: Luiz Inácio Lula da X then the market resolves to Yes. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Brazil President, BRPRES, Israel Prime Minister, GOVHEAD, U.S. Senate Control, CONTROL. All

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If ALL of the following occur: Brazil President: Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, Israel Prime Minister: Naftali Bennett, U.S. Senate Control: Republican, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. I"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $2.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Brazil President be Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva AND Israel Prime Minister be Naftali Bennett AND U.S. Senate Control be Republican?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Brazil President be Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva AND Israel Prime Minister be Naftali Bennett AND U.S. Senate Control be Democratic?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Brazil President be Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva AND Israel Prime Minister be Gadi Eizenkot AND U.S. Senate Control be Republican?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Brazil President be Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva AND Israel Prime Minister be Gadi Eizenkot AND U.S. Senate Control be Democratic?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Brazil President be Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva AND Israel Prime Minister be Benjamin Netanyahu AND U.S. Senate Control be Republican?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $27
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Brazil President be Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva AND Israel Prime Minister be Benjamin Netanyahu AND U.S. Senate Control be Democratic?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Brazil President be Flávio Bolsonaro AND Israel Prime Minister be Naftali Bennett AND U.S. Senate Control be Republican?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Brazil President be Flávio Bolsonaro AND Israel Prime Minister be Naftali Bennett AND U.S. Senate Control be Democratic?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Brazil President be Flávio Bolsonaro AND Israel Prime Minister be Gadi Eizenkot AND U.S. Senate Control be Republican?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $54
  DATA: [Yes: 14.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Brazil President be Flávio Bolsonaro AND Israel Prime Minister be Gadi Eizenkot AND U.S. Senate Control be Democratic?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $616
  DATA: [Yes: 20.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Brazil President be Flávio Bolsonaro AND Israel Prime Minister be Benjamin Netanyahu AND U.S. Senate Control be Republican?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $256
  DATA: [Yes: 18.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Brazil President be Flávio Bolsonaro AND Israel Prime Minister be Benjamin Netanyahu AND U.S. Senate Control be Democratic?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $600
  DATA: [Yes: 18.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

Brazil President, Israel PM & U.S. Senate combo

Volume$2.75K

Markets12

12 of 12

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KALSHI

Will Brazil President be Flávio Bolsonaro AND Israel Prime Minister be Gadi Eizenkot AND U.S. Senate Control be Democratic?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 20.5¢No 79.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Brazil President be Flávio Bolsonaro AND Israel Prime Minister be Gadi Eizenkot AND U.S. Senate Control be Democratic?

If ALL of the following occur: Brazil President: Flávio Bolsonaro, Israel Prime Minister: Gadi Eizenkot, U.S. Senate Control: Democratic, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY singl

KALSHI

Will Brazil President be Flávio Bolsonaro AND Israel Prime Minister be Benjamin Netanyahu AND U.S. Senate Control be Democratic?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 18.5¢No 81.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Brazil President be Flávio Bolsonaro AND Israel Prime Minister be Benjamin Netanyahu AND U.S. Senate Control be Democratic?

If ALL of the following occur: Brazil President: Flávio Bolsonaro, Israel Prime Minister: Benjamin Netanyahu, U.S. Senate Control: Democratic, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY

KALSHI

Will Brazil President be Flávio Bolsonaro AND Israel Prime Minister be Benjamin Netanyahu AND U.S. Senate Control be Republican?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 18.0¢No 82.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Brazil President be Flávio Bolsonaro AND Israel Prime Minister be Benjamin Netanyahu AND U.S. Senate Control be Republican?

If ALL of the following occur: Brazil President: Flávio Bolsonaro, Israel Prime Minister: Benjamin Netanyahu, U.S. Senate Control: Republican, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY

KALSHI

Will Brazil President be Flávio Bolsonaro AND Israel Prime Minister be Gadi Eizenkot AND U.S. Senate Control be Republican?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 14.5¢No 85.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Brazil President be Flávio Bolsonaro AND Israel Prime Minister be Gadi Eizenkot AND U.S. Senate Control be Republican?

If ALL of the following occur: Brazil President: Flávio Bolsonaro, Israel Prime Minister: Gadi Eizenkot, U.S. Senate Control: Republican, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY singl

KALSHI

Will Brazil President be Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva AND Israel Prime Minister be Gadi Eizenkot AND U.S. Senate Control be Democratic?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 4.5¢No 95.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Brazil President be Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva AND Israel Prime Minister be Gadi Eizenkot AND U.S. Senate Control be Democratic?

If ALL of the following occur: Brazil President: Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, Israel Prime Minister: Gadi Eizenkot, U.S. Senate Control: Democratic, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If

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8¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/GSXetb" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Brazil President, Israel PM & U.S. Senate combo"></iframe>

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Brazil President, Israel PM & U.S. Senate combo

Brazil President, Israel PM & U.S. Senate combo

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Will Brazil President be Flávio Bolsonaro AND Israel Prime Minister be Gadi Eizenkot AND U.S. Senate Control be Democratic?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Brazil President, Israel PM & U.S. Senate combo

Markets (12)

Will Brazil President be Flávio Bolsonaro AND Israel Prime Minister be Gadi Eizenkot AND U.S. Senate Control be Democratic?

Will Brazil President be Flávio Bolsonaro AND Israel Prime Minister be Gadi Eizenkot AND U.S. Senate Control be Democratic?

Will Brazil President be Flávio Bolsonaro AND Israel Prime Minister be Benjamin Netanyahu AND U.S. Senate Control be Democratic?

Will Brazil President be Flávio Bolsonaro AND Israel Prime Minister be Benjamin Netanyahu AND U.S. Senate Control be Democratic?

Will Brazil President be Flávio Bolsonaro AND Israel Prime Minister be Benjamin Netanyahu AND U.S. Senate Control be Republican?

Will Brazil President be Flávio Bolsonaro AND Israel Prime Minister be Benjamin Netanyahu AND U.S. Senate Control be Republican?

Will Brazil President be Flávio Bolsonaro AND Israel Prime Minister be Gadi Eizenkot AND U.S. Senate Control be Republican?

Will Brazil President be Flávio Bolsonaro AND Israel Prime Minister be Gadi Eizenkot AND U.S. Senate Control be Republican?

Will Brazil President be Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva AND Israel Prime Minister be Gadi Eizenkot AND U.S. Senate Control be Democratic?

Will Brazil President be Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva AND Israel Prime Minister be Gadi Eizenkot AND U.S. Senate Control be Democratic?

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Will Brazil President be Flávio Bolsonaro AND Israel Prime Minister be Gadi Eizenkot AND U.S. Senate Control be Democratic?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Brazil President, Israel PM & U.S. Senate combo

Will Brazil President be Flávio Bolsonaro AND Israel Prime Minister be Gadi Eizenkot AND U.S. Senate Control be Democratic?

Will Brazil President be Flávio Bolsonaro AND Israel Prime Minister be Gadi Eizenkot AND U.S. Senate Control be Democratic?

Will Brazil President be Flávio Bolsonaro AND Israel Prime Minister be Benjamin Netanyahu AND U.S. Senate Control be Democratic?

Will Brazil President be Flávio Bolsonaro AND Israel Prime Minister be Benjamin Netanyahu AND U.S. Senate Control be Democratic?

Will Brazil President be Flávio Bolsonaro AND Israel Prime Minister be Benjamin Netanyahu AND U.S. Senate Control be Republican?

Will Brazil President be Flávio Bolsonaro AND Israel Prime Minister be Benjamin Netanyahu AND U.S. Senate Control be Republican?

Will Brazil President be Flávio Bolsonaro AND Israel Prime Minister be Gadi Eizenkot AND U.S. Senate Control be Republican?

Will Brazil President be Flávio Bolsonaro AND Israel Prime Minister be Gadi Eizenkot AND U.S. Senate Control be Republican?

Will Brazil President be Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva AND Israel Prime Minister be Gadi Eizenkot AND U.S. Senate Control be Democratic?

Will Brazil President be Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva AND Israel Prime Minister be Gadi Eizenkot AND U.S. Senate Control be Democratic?

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