Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIPolitics

How many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?

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$40.44K

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How many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?

Vol

$40.44K

Events

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $40.44K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

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Volume DistributionTotal: $40.44K

100%

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6 markets tracked

Will the number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level moratorium on data-center development be at least 3 in 2026?

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Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level moratorium on data-center development be at least 3 in 2026?	Kalshi	71%
Will the number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level moratorium on data-center development be at least 4 in 2026?	Kalshi	53%
Will the number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level moratorium on data-center development be at least 5 in 2026?	Kalshi	32%
Will the number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level moratorium on data-center development be at least 6 in 2026?	Kalshi	14%
Will the number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level moratorium on data-center development be at least 7 in 2026?	Kalshi	6%
Will the number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level moratorium on data-center development be at least 8 in 2026?	Kalshi	3%

AI Analysis

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71%

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$40.44K

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About This Event

in 2026 If the number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level moratorium on data-center development is at least X in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. X state qualifies upon final adoption of a binding law, executive order, regulation, or agency order that expressly targets data centers and prohibits or suspends a material governmental approval, permitting, interconnection, construction, expansion, or operation pathway for new or expanded data centers. The measure may appl

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** How many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** in 2026

If the number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level moratorium on data-center development is at least X in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. X state qualifies upon final adoption of a binding law, executive order, regulation, or agency order that expressly targets data centers and prohibits or suspends a material governmental approval, permitting, interconnection, construction, expansion, or operation pathway for new or expanded data centers. The measure may appl

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level moratorium on data-center development is at least 8 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A state qualifies upon final adoption of a binding law, executive order, regulation, or agency order that expressly ta"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $40.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level moratorium on data-center development be at least 8 in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level moratorium on data-center development be at least 7 in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level moratorium on data-center development be at least 6 in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 14.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level moratorium on data-center development be at least 5 in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 1, 2027): Vol $7.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 32.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 67.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level moratorium on data-center development be at least 4 in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 1, 2027): Vol $6.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 53.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level moratorium on data-center development be at least 3 in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 1, 2027): Vol $26.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 71.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 29.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIPolitics

How many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?

Volume$40.44K

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KALSHI

Will the number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level moratorium on data-center development be at least 3 in 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 71.0¢No 29.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will the number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level moratorium on data-center development be at least 3 in 2026?

If the number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level moratorium on data-center development is at least 3 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A state qualifies upon final adoption of a binding law, executive order, regulation, or agency order that expressly ta

KALSHI

Will the number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level moratorium on data-center development be at least 4 in 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 53.0¢No 47.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will the number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level moratorium on data-center development be at least 4 in 2026?

If the number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level moratorium on data-center development is at least 4 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A state qualifies upon final adoption of a binding law, executive order, regulation, or agency order that expressly ta

KALSHI

Will the number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level moratorium on data-center development be at least 5 in 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 32.5¢No 67.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will the number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level moratorium on data-center development be at least 5 in 2026?

If the number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level moratorium on data-center development is at least 5 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A state qualifies upon final adoption of a binding law, executive order, regulation, or agency order that expressly ta

KALSHI

Will the number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level moratorium on data-center development be at least 6 in 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 14.5¢No 85.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will the number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level moratorium on data-center development be at least 6 in 2026?

If the number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level moratorium on data-center development is at least 6 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A state qualifies upon final adoption of a binding law, executive order, regulation, or agency order that expressly ta

KALSHI

Will the number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level moratorium on data-center development be at least 7 in 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 5.5¢No 94.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will the number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level moratorium on data-center development be at least 7 in 2026?

If the number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level moratorium on data-center development is at least 7 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A state qualifies upon final adoption of a binding law, executive order, regulation, or agency order that expressly ta

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Will the number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level moratorium on data-center development be at least 3 in 2026?

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Events (1)

How many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?

Markets (6)

Will the number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level moratorium on data-center development be at least 3 in 2026?

Will the number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level moratorium on data-center development be at least 3 in 2026?

Will the number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level moratorium on data-center development be at least 4 in 2026?

Will the number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level moratorium on data-center development be at least 4 in 2026?

Will the number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level moratorium on data-center development be at least 5 in 2026?

Will the number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level moratorium on data-center development be at least 5 in 2026?

Will the number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level moratorium on data-center development be at least 6 in 2026?

Will the number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level moratorium on data-center development be at least 6 in 2026?

Will the number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level moratorium on data-center development be at least 7 in 2026?

Will the number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level moratorium on data-center development be at least 7 in 2026?

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Will the number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level moratorium on data-center development be at least 3 in 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

How many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?

Will the number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level moratorium on data-center development be at least 3 in 2026?

Will the number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level moratorium on data-center development be at least 3 in 2026?

Will the number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level moratorium on data-center development be at least 4 in 2026?

Will the number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level moratorium on data-center development be at least 4 in 2026?

Will the number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level moratorium on data-center development be at least 5 in 2026?

Will the number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level moratorium on data-center development be at least 5 in 2026?

Will the number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level moratorium on data-center development be at least 6 in 2026?

Will the number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level moratorium on data-center development be at least 6 in 2026?

Will the number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level moratorium on data-center development be at least 7 in 2026?

Will the number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level moratorium on data-center development be at least 7 in 2026?

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