Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Maia: Patrick Schoen vs Michael Vrbensky

Name: Maia: Patrick Schoen vs Michael Vrbensky
End: 2026-10-19T11:10:00.000Z

Total Volume

$319.28

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Maia: Patrick Schoen vs Michael Vrbensky

Vol

$319.28

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $319.28

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $319.28

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

2 markets tracked

Maia: Patrick Schoen vs Michael Vrbensky

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(2)

Market	Platform	Price
Maia: Patrick Schoen vs Michael Vrbensky	Poly	81%
Maia, Portugal, Qualifying: Completed Match: Patrick Schoen vs Michael Vrbensky	Poly	49%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

81%

Top Probability

$319.28

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the tennis match between Patrick Schoen and Michael Vrbensky in the Maia, Portugal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 7:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Patrick Schoen' if Patrick Schoen advances against Michael Vrbensky. This market will resolve to 'Michael Vrbensky' if Michael Vrbensky advances against Patrick Schoen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 P

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Maia: Patrick Schoen vs Michael Vrbensky
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 19, 2026 (8 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market refers to the tennis match between Patrick Schoen and Michael Vrbensky in the Maia, Portugal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 7:10AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Patrick Schoen' if Patrick Schoen advances against Michael Vrbensky.

This market will resolve to 'Michael Vrbensky' if Michael Vrbensky advances against Patrick Schoen.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 P

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the tennis match between Patrick Schoen and Michael Vrbensky in the Maia, Portugal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 7:10AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Patrick Schoen' if Patrick Schoen advances against Michael Vrbensky.

This market will resolve t"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $319
* **Total Liquidity:** $11.5K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.03)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Maia: Patrick Schoen vs Michael Vrbensky
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $319
  DATA: [Patrick Schoen: 80.5% (0.0%)] | [Michael Vrbensky: 19.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Maia, Portugal, Qualifying: Completed Match: Patrick Schoen vs Michael Vrbensky
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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