Who will attend The Met Gala? | PredictPedia

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15 markets tracked

Will Emma Chamberlain attend The Met Gala 2026?

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Single-Platform Markets(15)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Emma Chamberlain attend The Met Gala 2026?	Kalshi	95%
Will Timothée Chalamet attend The Met Gala 2026?	Kalshi	94%
Will Kendall Jenner attend The Met Gala 2026?	Kalshi	94%
Will Bad Bunny attend The Met Gala 2026?	Kalshi	93%
Will Zendaya attend The Met Gala 2026?	Kalshi	91%
Will Billie Eilish attend The Met Gala 2026?	Kalshi	89%
Will Sabrina Carpenter attend The Met Gala 2026?	Kalshi	88%
Will A$AP Rocky attend The Met Gala 2026?	Kalshi	87%
Will Jacob Elordi attend The Met Gala 2026?	Kalshi	86%
Will Rihanna attend The Met Gala 2026?	Kalshi	86%
Will Doja Cat attend The Met Gala 2026?	Kalshi	86%
Will Chappell Roan attend The Met Gala 2026?	Kalshi	86%
Will Hailey Bieber attend The Met Gala 2026?	Kalshi	84%
Will Ice Spice attend The Met Gala 2026?	Kalshi	76%
Will Frank Ocean attend The Met Gala 2026?	Kalshi	54%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, January 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Who will attend The Met Gala?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** On May 4, 2026

If X attends The Met Gala 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Attendance is confirmed if the person is reported present at the event by any Source Agency, including social media posts by the person themselves. Brief appearances or partial attendance count as attendance. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Zendaya attends The Met Gala 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Attendance is confirmed if the person is reported present at the event by any Source Agency, including social media posts by the person themselves. Brief appearances or partial attendance count as attendance. Ear"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $566
* **Total Liquidity:** $6.98M
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Zendaya attend The Met Gala 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $10
  DATA: [Yes: 90.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 9.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Timothée Chalamet attend The Met Gala 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $111
  DATA: [Yes: 94.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Sabrina Carpenter attend The Met Gala 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 88.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 12.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Rihanna attend The Met Gala 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $57
  DATA: [Yes: 85.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 14.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Kendall Jenner attend The Met Gala 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 93.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Jacob Elordi attend The Met Gala 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $2
  DATA: [Yes: 86.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 14.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Ice Spice attend The Met Gala 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $161
  DATA: [Yes: 76.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 24.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Hailey Bieber attend The Met Gala 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $74
  DATA: [Yes: 83.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 16.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Frank Ocean attend The Met Gala 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $96
  DATA: [Yes: 54.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 45.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Emma Chamberlain attend The Met Gala 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $20
  DATA: [Yes: 94.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Doja Cat attend The Met Gala 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 85.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 14.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Chappell Roan attend The Met Gala 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $22
  DATA: [Yes: 85.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 14.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Billie Eilish attend The Met Gala 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 88.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 11.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Bad Bunny attend The Met Gala 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $2
  DATA: [Yes: 93.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 7.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will A$AP Rocky attend The Met Gala 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 87.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 13.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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86¢

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Who will attend The Met Gala?

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Will Emma Chamberlain attend The Met Gala 2026?

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Events (1)

Who will attend The Met Gala?

Markets (15)

Will Emma Chamberlain attend The Met Gala 2026?

Will Emma Chamberlain attend The Met Gala 2026?

Will Timothée Chalamet attend The Met Gala 2026?

Will Timothée Chalamet attend The Met Gala 2026?

Will Kendall Jenner attend The Met Gala 2026?

Will Kendall Jenner attend The Met Gala 2026?

Will Bad Bunny attend The Met Gala 2026?

Will Bad Bunny attend The Met Gala 2026?

Will Zendaya attend The Met Gala 2026?

Will Zendaya attend The Met Gala 2026?

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Will Emma Chamberlain attend The Met Gala 2026?

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Who will attend The Met Gala?

Will Emma Chamberlain attend The Met Gala 2026?

Will Emma Chamberlain attend The Met Gala 2026?

Will Timothée Chalamet attend The Met Gala 2026?

Will Timothée Chalamet attend The Met Gala 2026?

Will Kendall Jenner attend The Met Gala 2026?

Will Kendall Jenner attend The Met Gala 2026?

Will Bad Bunny attend The Met Gala 2026?

Will Bad Bunny attend The Met Gala 2026?

Will Zendaya attend The Met Gala 2026?

Will Zendaya attend The Met Gala 2026?

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