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GroupPOLYMARKET

WA-05 House Election Winner

WA-05 House Election Winner
Vol

PM $106.1K

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Events

1

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Markets

2

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 27, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Michael Baumgartner (R) at 83.5%.

Polymarket

  1. Michael Baumgartner (R)83.5%
  2. Carmela Conroy (D)16.1%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $106.1K

Reported volume · provider units

2

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiPolitics
Illinois 05 House General Election: voter turnout

Illinois 05 House General Election: voter turnout

K 0 contracts
Will the total vote count for all participants in Illinois 05 House General Election be above 200000?Yes 95%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Illinois 05 House General Election be above 210000?Yes 94%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Illinois 05 House General Election be above 220000?Yes 90%
+10 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Louisiana 05 House General Election: voter turnout

Louisiana 05 House General Election: voter turnout

K 3.8K contracts
Will the total vote count for all participants in Louisiana 05 House General Election be above 60000?Yes 96.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Louisiana 05 House General Election be above 80000?Yes 82%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Louisiana 05 House General Election be above 90000?Yes 63%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Indiana 05 House General Election: voter turnout

Indiana 05 House General Election: voter turnout

K 611.78 contracts
Will the total vote count for all participants in Indiana 05 House General Election be above 180000?Yes 94%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Indiana 05 House General Election be above 190000?Yes 90%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Indiana 05 House General Election be above 200000?Yes 83%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Georgia 05 House General Election: voter turnout

Georgia 05 House General Election: voter turnout

K 24 contracts
Will the total vote count for all participants in Georgia 05 House General Election be above 220000?Yes 93.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Georgia 05 House General Election be above 230000?Yes 89%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Georgia 05 House General Election be above 240000?Yes 83%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Kentucky 05 House General Election: voter turnout

Kentucky 05 House General Election: voter turnout

K 600 contracts
Will the total vote count for all participants in Kentucky 05 House General Election be above 170000?Yes 90%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Kentucky 05 House General Election be above 180000?Yes 83%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Kentucky 05 House General Election be above 190000?Yes 74%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Pennsylvania 05 House General Election: voter turnout

Pennsylvania 05 House General Election: voter turnout

K 403.86 contracts
Will the total vote count for all participants in Pennsylvania 05 House General Election be above 220000?Yes 96%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Pennsylvania 05 House General Election be above 250000?Yes 92%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Pennsylvania 05 House General Election be above 270000?Yes 83%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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