
Ohio enacts data center moratorium by...?
PM $653.9K · K 9.8K contracts
3
8
Ohio enacts data center moratorium by...?

PM $653.9K · K 9.8K contracts
3
8
Polymarket vs Kalshi
Snapshot from
As of Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC, Before Jan 1, 2027 is priced at 33.4% on Polymarket and 36% on Kalshi.
| Outcome (Yes price) | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027Same question, fine print differs | 33.4% | 36% | 2.6 pts |
Yes prices for outcomes an automated review found to ask the same question on both platforms. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $653.9K · K 9.8K contracts
Reported volume · provider units
8
Saved contracts
1
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the State of Ohio enacts a law or constitutional provision that establishes a statewide moratorium on new data centers between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A statewide moratorium on new data centers refers to a binding policy with legal force that generally prohibits or suspends the approval, permitting, construction, grid interconnection, or operation of all new data centers, or a subset of data centers that includes all new data centers with an interconnection capacity above 100 MW per facility (requested or nameplate), throughout the state. Suspensions of tax incentives, exemption certifications, or economic development awards alone will not qualify, nor will a moratorium adopted by a local government or limited to part of the state. Specific exemptions (e.g., for specified applications, executed agreements, or interconnection requests) do not prevent a measure from generally applying to all new data centers, or a qualifying subset of new data centers, provided that data center approval, permitting, construction, grid interconnection, or operation is prohibited by default, rather than permitted subject to conditions or restrictions. Conditions on the resumption or termination of a suspension do not make a measure one that permits subject to conditions; a measure that suspends approvals, permitting, construction, or interconnection until a specified condition is satisfied qualifies. Enactment occurs when a bill becomes law under the state's constitution and laws, whether by gubernatorial signature, veto override, becoming law without signature, approval at a statewide referendum election, or any other legal mechanism by which statutes can be enacted. For an initiated or referred statute or constitutional amendment, or other voter referendum, the relevant law is considered to have been enacted on the election day on which it was approved, as reflected in the certified results, regardless of when the measure is certified or takes effect. Passage by one or both chambers, or a Governor's announced intent to sign, is not enactment. Executive orders, agency orders, and other measures which are not statutory or constitutional do not qualify as enactment regardless of legal force. A provision removed by line-item veto is not enacted unless the veto is overridden as to that item. The operative text of the measure at enactment controls; provisions amended out before enactment do not qualify. The moratorium provision must be mandatory on its face. A statute that merely authorizes a state agency or the Governor to impose a moratorium at their discretion does not qualify. A statute that directs suspension of approvals or interconnection upon a specified condition qualifies only if the condition is objectively determinable and is not deferred to be determined by the implementing agency's findings, certifications, or completion of its own proceedings. This market resolves based on the date of enactment, not the effective date. Resolution will not be affected by failure to implement a law, judicial invalidation, repeal, or expiry that follows a relevant enactment, or an effective date that comes after the date of enactment. The primary resolution source will be official information from the state government of Ohio; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-21T12:00:06.317Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The Polymarket event asks whether the State of Ohio will enact a statewide data center moratorium [1]. The rules define enactment as a bill becoming law, whether by gubernatorial signature, veto override, becoming law without signature, or voter approval at a statewide referendum. Passage by one or both chambers, or a governor's announced intent to sign, does not count [1]. A qualifying moratorium must be mandatory and binding. It can cover all new data centers or a subset that includes all new data centers above 100 MW per facility. Local moratoriums, partial-state measures, and suspensions of tax incentives alone do not qualify [1]. The market resolves on the enactment date, not the effective date, and later repeal or court invalidation does not change a qualifying enactment [1].
Reading the snapshot
The four listed contracts share one event but ask about different deadlines. The snapshot shows these Yes prices: 0.03 for December 31, 2026; 0.155 for June 30, 2027; 0.195 for December 31, 2027; and 0.265 for December 31, 2028 [1]. The rules set the deadline at 11:59 PM ET, while the listed end times are given in UTC, so each listed time falls shortly after the stated local deadline [1]. The June 2027 contract's listed end time is 2027-07-01T03:59:00.000Z, which differs in form from the other entries and should be read against the rules, not compared by timestamp alone [1].
These are observed prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The observation time was 2026-10-21T12:00:06Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-21T12:07:55Z [1]. Because the contracts have different deadlines, their prices should not be treated as one averaged forecast or as an arbitrage signal. Volume and liquidity data are not part of the supplied evidence, so this snapshot does not indicate how many traders hold each view.
What remains uncertain
All four saved markets for this event are included, and the sample is not marked partial [1]. The provider warning still notes that this does not establish that every possible real-world outcome is listed [1]. The evidence contains no news, legislative status, or explanation for price levels, so it cannot say why prices stand where they do. Readers should check the current contract page and the official Ohio sources named in the rules, since the rules allow a consensus of credible reporting as a secondary basis [1].
References
- Polymarket: Ohio enacts data center moratorium by...?. Provider data observed 2026-10-21T12:00:06.317Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 21, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This contract asks whether the State of Ohio will enact a statewide moratorium on new data centers by a specified deadline. Under the contract rules, it resolves "Yes" if Ohio enacts a law or constitutional provision establishing such a moratorium between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise it resolves "No" [1]. The rules define a qualifying moratorium as a binding policy with legal force that generally prohibits or suspends the approval, permitting, construction, grid interconnection, or operation of all new data centers. A narrower subset also qualifies if it includes all new data centers with an interconnection capacity above 100 MW per facility, whether requested or nameplate, applied throughout the state [1]. Several things are excluded. Suspensions of tax incentives, exemption certifications, or economic development awards alone do not count. A moratorium adopted by a local government does not count, and neither does one limited to part of the state [1]. Specific exemptions do not disqualify a measure if the default is that approval or construction is prohibited. Conditions on when a suspension ends also do not disqualify it, but a measure that is discretionary, such as one that only authorizes an agency or the Governor to impose a moratorium, does not qualify [1]. The contract also specifies what enactment means. A bill becomes law through a gubernatorial signature, a veto override, becoming law without a signature, approval at a statewide referendum, or any other legal mechanism by which statutes are enacted. For a voter-approved measure, the enactment date is the election day on which it was approved, as shown in certified results [1]. Passage by one or both chambers, or a governor's announced intent to sign, does not count as enactment. Executive orders and agency orders do not count either [1]. Resolution depends on the date of enactment rather than the effective date. A later effective date, a failure to implement the law, a court invalidation, a repeal, or an expiry after enactment does not change the outcome [1]. The primary resolution source is official information from the Ohio state government, although a consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1]. The market data in this record was observed at 12:00 UTC on October 21, 2026. The supplied material does not report any specific legislative action on a statewide data center moratorium, so this article describes only the contract terms and the recorded prices.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether Ohio will adopt a binding, statewide restriction that halts or suspends new data center approvals, construction, grid interconnection, or operation, or a defined subset of large facilities above 100 MW [1]. Because the contract excludes tax-incentive suspensions, local moratoria, and discretionary authority that has not been exercised, it tracks a specific type of enacted state law rather than general debate about data centers [1]. The distinction between enactment and effective date means the contract turns on when a measure becomes law, not when its provisions take practical effect [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-21 at 12:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
Does a local government moratorium count toward this contract?
No. The contract states that a moratorium adopted by a local government, or one limited to part of the state, will not resolve the market to "Yes" [1].
Does a bill passing one chamber count as enactment?
No. Passage by one or both chambers, or a Governor's announced intent to sign, is not enactment under the contract rules [1].
If a law is enacted but takes effect later, when does the contract resolve?
The contract resolves based on the date of enactment, not the effective date. An effective date after enactment does not affect resolution [1].
Why do the four contracts show different prices?
Each contract uses a different deadline, from December 31, 2026 to December 31, 2028, and the snapshot records a different Yes price for each [1]. The supplied material does not explain why any price is where it is. These are snapshot prices from the observation time, not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

Which states will enact data center moratoriums before 2028?
K 1.2K contracts
Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
PM $6.36M
Oklahoma enacts data center moratorium by...?
PM $801.6K
Louisiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
PM $784.2K
Missouri enacts data center moratorium by...?
PM $779.6K
Texas enacts data center moratorium by...?
PM $767.9KMarket Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
1
Same-question pairs
1
Largest saved gap: 2.6 percentage points.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

