Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

UEFA Nations League B: Teams promoted to League A (2026-27)

Name: UEFA Nations League B: Teams promoted to League A (2026-27)
End: 2027-04-14T03:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$13.14K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

UEFA Nations League B: Teams promoted to League A (2026-27)

Vol

$13.14K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $13.14K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $13.14K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

16 markets tracked

Will Austria be promoted to Nations League A in 2026-27?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(16)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Austria be promoted to Nations League A in 2026-27?	Poly	79%
Will Hungary be promoted to Nations League A in 2026-27?	Poly	72%
Will Sweden be promoted to Nations League A in 2026-27?	Poly	70%
Will Northern Ireland be promoted to Nations League A in 2026-27?	Poly	66%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina be promoted to Nations League A in 2026-27?	Poly	54%
Will Switzerland be promoted to Nations League A in 2026-27?	Poly	53%
Will Slovenia be promoted to Nations League A in 2026-27?	Poly	39%
Will Kosovo be promoted to Nations League A in 2026-27?	Poly	39%
Will Republic of Ireland be promoted to Nations League A in 2026-27?	Poly	29%
Will Scotland be promoted to Nations League A in 2026-27?	Poly	20%
Will Poland be promoted to Nations League A in 2026-27?	Poly	13%
Will Ukraine be promoted to Nations League A in 2026-27?	Poly	12%
Will Romania be promoted to Nations League A in 2026-27?	Poly	11%
Will Israel be promoted to Nations League A in 2026-27?	Poly	6%
Will Georgia be promoted to Nations League A in 2026-27?	Poly	5%
Will North Macedonia be promoted to Nations League A in 2026-27?	Poly	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

79%

Top Probability

$13.14K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team achieves promotion from UEFA Nations League B to UEFA Nations League A for the 2028-29 UEFA Nations League at the conclusion of the 2026-27 competition. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Official promotion is defined as a team clinching a place in UEFA Nations League A for the 2028-29 UEFA Nations League through their final standing in the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League B league phase, via promotion/relegation play-off victory, or by

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** UEFA Nations League B: Teams promoted to League A (2026-27)
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Apr 14, 2027 (185 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team achieves promotion from UEFA Nations League B to UEFA Nations League A for the 2028-29 UEFA Nations League at the conclusion of the 2026-27 competition. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Official promotion is defined as a team clinching a place in UEFA Nations League A for the 2028-29 UEFA Nations League through their final standing in the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League B league phase, via promotion/relegation play-off victory, or by 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team achieves promotion from UEFA Nations League B to UEFA Nations League A for the 2028-29 UEFA Nations League at the conclusion of the 2026-27 competition. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Official promotion is defined as a team clinchin"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $13.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $3.9K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 3.33)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Scotland be promoted to Nations League A in 2026-27?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 14, 2027): Vol $2.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Switzerland be promoted to Nations League A in 2026-27?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 14, 2027): Vol $101
  DATA: [Yes: 53.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Slovenia be promoted to Nations League A in 2026-27?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 14, 2027): Vol $772
  DATA: [Yes: 38.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will North Macedonia be promoted to Nations League A in 2026-27?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 14, 2027): Vol $402
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Hungary be promoted to Nations League A in 2026-27?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 14, 2027): Vol $2.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 71.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 28.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Ukraine be promoted to Nations League A in 2026-27?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 14, 2027): Vol $485
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Georgia be promoted to Nations League A in 2026-27?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 14, 2027): Vol $200
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Northern Ireland be promoted to Nations League A in 2026-27?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 14, 2027): Vol $580
  DATA: [Yes: 65.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 34.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Israel be promoted to Nations League A in 2026-27?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 14, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Austria be promoted to Nations League A in 2026-27?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 14, 2027): Vol $321
  DATA: [Yes: 79.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 20.9% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Republic of Ireland be promoted to Nations League A in 2026-27?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 14, 2027): Vol $224
  DATA: [Yes: 29.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Kosovo be promoted to Nations League A in 2026-27?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 14, 2027): Vol $2.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 38.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Poland be promoted to Nations League A in 2026-27?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 14, 2027): Vol $1.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 13.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Bosnia and Herzegovina be promoted to Nations League A in 2026-27?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 14, 2027): Vol $40
  DATA: [Yes: 53.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 46.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Romania be promoted to Nations League A in 2026-27?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 14, 2027): Vol $288
  DATA: [Yes: 10.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.1% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Sweden be promoted to Nations League A in 2026-27?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 14, 2027): Vol $100
  DATA: [Yes: 70.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 30.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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