Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

UEFA Nations League A: Teams relegated (2026-27)

Name: UEFA Nations League A: Teams relegated (2026-27)
End: 2027-04-14T03:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$37.34K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

UEFA Nations League A: Teams relegated (2026-27)

Vol

$37.34K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $37.34K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $37.34K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

16 markets tracked

Will Czechia be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(16)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Czechia be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27?	Poly	87%
Will Türkiye be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27?	Poly	83%
Will Serbia be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27?	Poly	81%
Will Norway be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27?	Poly	35%
Will Croatia be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27?	Poly	35%
Will Wales be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27?	Poly	32%
Will Denmark be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27?	Poly	25%
Will Germany be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27?	Poly	14%
Will Netherlands be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27?	Poly	13%
Will Italy be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27?	Poly	7%
Will England be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27?	Poly	5%
Will Greece be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27?	Poly	4%
Will Spain be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27?	Poly	3%
Will France be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27?	Poly	3%
Will Belgium be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27?	Poly	3%
Will Portugal be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

87%

Top Probability

$37.34K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from UEFA Nations League A at the conclusion of the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in UEFA Nations League A for the 2028-29 UEFA Nations League through their final standing in the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League A league phase, via promotion/relegation play-off defeat, or by any other official decision recognized by UEFA. If the 2026

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** UEFA Nations League A: Teams relegated (2026-27)
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Apr 14, 2027 (185 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from UEFA Nations League A at the conclusion of the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in UEFA Nations League A for the 2028-29 UEFA Nations League through their final standing in the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League A league phase, via promotion/relegation play-off defeat, or by any other official decision recognized by UEFA.

If the 2026

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from UEFA Nations League A at the conclusion of the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in UEFA Nations League A for the 2028-29 UEFA Nat"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $37.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $3.5K
* **Activity Level:** High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 10.70)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will France be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 14, 2027): Vol $190
  DATA: [Yes: 3.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.9% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Italy be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 14, 2027): Vol $5.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Belgium be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 14, 2027): Vol $4.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.3% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Türkiye be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 14, 2027): Vol $5.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 82.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 17.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Germany be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 14, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 13.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.4% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Netherlands be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 14, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 13.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Serbia be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 14, 2027): Vol $7.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 81.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 19.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Greece be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 14, 2027): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.3% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Spain be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 14, 2027): Vol $133
  DATA: [Yes: 3.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.8% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Croatia be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 14, 2027): Vol $2.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 35.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 65.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will England be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 14, 2027): Vol $897
  DATA: [Yes: 4.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.3% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Czechia be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 14, 2027): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 86.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 13.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Portugal be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 14, 2027): Vol $226
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Denmark be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 14, 2027): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 24.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Norway be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 14, 2027): Vol $676
  DATA: [Yes: 35.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.8% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Wales be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 14, 2027): Vol $5.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 31.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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