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Event GroupPOLYMARKETCulture

Who will Zendaya wear at the Met Gala?

Name: Who will Zendaya wear at the Met Gala?
End: 2026-05-04T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$426.37

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Who will Zendaya wear at the Met Gala?

Vol

$426.37

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $426.37

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $426.37

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

10 markets tracked

Will Zendaya wear Balmain & Olivier Rousteing at the Met Gala?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(10)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Zendaya wear Balmain & Olivier Rousteing at the Met Gala?	Poly	50%
Will Zendaya wear Roberto Cavalli at the Met Gala?	Poly	50%
Will Zendaya wear Versace at the Met Gala?	Poly	50%
Will Zendaya wear Gucci at the Met Gala?	Poly	50%
Will Zendaya wear Loewe at the Met Gala?	Poly	48%
Will Zendaya wear Schiaparelli at the Met Gala?	Poly	48%
Will Zendaya wear Alexander McQueen at the Met Gala?	Poly	48%
Will Zendaya wear Dolce & Gabbana at the Met Gala?	Poly	43%
Will Zendaya wear Valentino at the Met Gala?	Poly	29%
Will Zendaya wear Tiffany & Co. at the Met Gala?	Poly	12%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

50%

Top Probability

$426.37

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zendaya wears pieces of clothing, jewelry, or accessories from the listed designer at any point during her appearance at the 2026 Met Gala, currently scheduled for May 4, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Zendaya does not attend the Met Gala, this market will resolve to "No". This market may resolve only after the Met Gala has concluded. No afterparties or later events will qualify; only appearances at the Met Gala itself will count. If t

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Who will Zendaya wear at the Met Gala?
**Category:** Culture | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 4, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zendaya wears pieces of clothing, jewelry, or accessories from the listed designer at any point during her appearance at the 2026 Met Gala, currently scheduled for May 4, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Zendaya does not attend the Met Gala, this market will resolve to "No". This market may resolve only after the Met Gala has concluded. No afterparties or later events will qualify; only appearances at the Met Gala itself will count. If t

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zendaya wears pieces of clothing, jewelry, or accessories from the listed designer at any point during her appearance at the 2026 Met Gala, currently scheduled for May 4, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Zendaya does not attend the Met Gala,"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $426
* **Total Liquidity:** $123
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 3.46)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Zendaya wear Balmain & Olivier Rousteing at the Met Gala?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $60
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Zendaya wear Loewe at the Met Gala?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 48.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Zendaya wear Alexander McQueen at the Met Gala?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Zendaya wear Roberto Cavalli at the Met Gala?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Zendaya wear Schiaparelli at the Met Gala?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 48.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Zendaya wear Versace at the Met Gala?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Zendaya wear Gucci at the Met Gala?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $135
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Zendaya wear Tiffany & Co. at the Met Gala?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $102
  DATA: [Yes: 11.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.4% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Zendaya wear Dolce & Gabbana at the Met Gala?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $6
  DATA: [Yes: 42.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Zendaya wear Valentino at the Met Gala?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $123
  DATA: [Yes: 29.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.9% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETCulture