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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETFinance

What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of June?

Name: What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of June?
End: 2026-06-30T17:30:00.000Z

Total Volume

$4.58M

Events

Markets

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What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of June?

Vol

$4.58M

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $4.58M

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $4.58M

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

23 markets tracked

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(23)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?	Poly	66%
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,400 by end of June?	Poly	57%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June?	Poly	53%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of June?	Poly	48%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?	Poly	41%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?	Poly	35%
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?	Poly	27%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of June?	Poly	25%
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?	Poly	18%
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?	Poly	15%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,200 by end of June?	Poly	9%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?	Poly	7%
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?	Poly	6%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?	Poly	4%
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?	Poly	3%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?	Poly	3%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?	Poly	3%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?	Poly	3%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?	Poly	2%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?	Poly	2%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,500 by end of June?	Poly	2%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?	Poly	1%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

66%

Top Probability

$4.58M

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically o

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Wednesday, July 15, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of June?
**Category:** Finance | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jun 30, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically o

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

For CME Gold (GC) futures cont"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $4.42M
* **Total Liquidity:** $482.2K
* **Activity Level:** Moderate (Vol/Liq Ratio: 9.16)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $330.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.4% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $509.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.8% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $254.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.9% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $101.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.3% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $291.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.9% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $1.26M
  DATA: [Yes: 6.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.3% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $278.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 27.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $81.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $361.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.7% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $91.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,500 by end of June?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $272.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.4% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $111.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.8% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $232.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.9% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $25.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 66.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 34.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $37.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 52.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of June?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $21.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 25.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $16.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 17.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $19.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 34.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 65.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $23.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 40.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $25.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 15.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,200 by end of June?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $38.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 9.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.0% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of June?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $16.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 48.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.0% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,400 by end of June?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $14.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 57.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 42.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETFinance

What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of June?

Volume$4.58M

Markets23

23 of 23

Sort:

POLYMARKET

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 66.0¢No 34.0¢

POLYMARKETFinance

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price on any trading day between market creation and the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME

POLYMARKET

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,400 by end of June?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 57.5¢No 42.5¢

POLYMARKETFinance

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,400 by end of June?

POLYMARKET

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 52.5¢No 47.5¢

POLYMARKETFinance

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price on any trading day between market creation and the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME

POLYMARKET

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of June?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 48.0¢No 52.0¢

POLYMARKETFinance

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of June?

POLYMARKET

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 40.5¢No 59.5¢

POLYMARKETFinance

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?

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19¢

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Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?

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Events (1)

What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of June?

Markets (23)

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,400 by end of June?

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,400 by end of June?

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June?

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June?

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of June?

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of June?

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?

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Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of June?

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,400 by end of June?

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,400 by end of June?

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June?

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June?

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of June?

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of June?

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?

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