Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

Oshawa mayoral election winner?

Total Volume

$781.47

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Oshawa mayoral election winner?

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$781.47

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Polymarket

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Kalshi

markets · $781.47

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0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $781.47

100%

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9 markets tracked

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Will Tito-Dante Marimpietri win the 2026 Oshawa, Ontario mayoral election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Tito-Dante Marimpietri win the 2026 Oshawa, Ontario mayoral election?	Kalshi	66%
Will Derek Giberson win the 2026 Oshawa, Ontario mayoral election?	Kalshi	19%
Will Jim Lee win the 2026 Oshawa, Ontario mayoral election?	Kalshi	7%
Will Henry Onwuachu win the 2026 Oshawa, Ontario mayoral election?	Kalshi	4%
Will Jeremy Large win the 2026 Oshawa, Ontario mayoral election?	Kalshi	3%
Will Dave Westlake win the 2026 Oshawa, Ontario mayoral election?	Kalshi	3%
Will Sherland Chhangur win the 2026 Oshawa, Ontario mayoral election?	Kalshi	3%
Will Michael Coons win the 2026 Oshawa, Ontario mayoral election?	Kalshi	3%
Will Joseph Tomlins win the 2026 Oshawa, Ontario mayoral election?	Kalshi	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

66%

Top Probability

$781.47

Volume

Markets

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About This Event

October 26, 2026 If X wins the 2026 Oshawa, Ontario mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Oshawa mayoral election winner?
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** October 26, 2026

If X wins the 2026 Oshawa, Ontario mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Tito-Dante Marimpietri wins the 2026 Oshawa, Ontario mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $781
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Tito-Dante Marimpietri win the 2026 Oshawa, Ontario mayoral election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2027): Vol $581
  DATA: [Yes: 65.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 34.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Sherland Chhangur win the 2026 Oshawa, Ontario mayoral election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Michael Coons win the 2026 Oshawa, Ontario mayoral election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Joseph Tomlins win the 2026 Oshawa, Ontario mayoral election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Jim Lee win the 2026 Oshawa, Ontario mayoral election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Jeremy Large win the 2026 Oshawa, Ontario mayoral election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Henry Onwuachu win the 2026 Oshawa, Ontario mayoral election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Dave Westlake win the 2026 Oshawa, Ontario mayoral election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Derek Giberson win the 2026 Oshawa, Ontario mayoral election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2027): Vol $201
  DATA: [Yes: 19.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHIElections

Oshawa mayoral election winner?

Volume$781.47

Markets9

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KALSHI

Will Tito-Dante Marimpietri win the 2026 Oshawa, Ontario mayoral election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 65.5¢No 34.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Tito-Dante Marimpietri win the 2026 Oshawa, Ontario mayoral election?

If Tito-Dante Marimpietri wins the 2026 Oshawa, Ontario mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

KALSHI

Will Derek Giberson win the 2026 Oshawa, Ontario mayoral election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 19.0¢No 81.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Derek Giberson win the 2026 Oshawa, Ontario mayoral election?

If Derek Giberson wins the 2026 Oshawa, Ontario mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

KALSHI

Will Jim Lee win the 2026 Oshawa, Ontario mayoral election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 7.0¢No 93.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Jim Lee win the 2026 Oshawa, Ontario mayoral election?

If Jim Lee wins the 2026 Oshawa, Ontario mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

KALSHI

Will Henry Onwuachu win the 2026 Oshawa, Ontario mayoral election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 4.0¢No 96.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Henry Onwuachu win the 2026 Oshawa, Ontario mayoral election?

If Henry Onwuachu wins the 2026 Oshawa, Ontario mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

KALSHI

Will Jeremy Large win the 2026 Oshawa, Ontario mayoral election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 3.5¢No 96.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Jeremy Large win the 2026 Oshawa, Ontario mayoral election?

If Jeremy Large wins the 2026 Oshawa, Ontario mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/Gqw1RG" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Oshawa mayoral election winner?"></iframe>

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Will Tito-Dante Marimpietri win the 2026 Oshawa, Ontario mayoral election?

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About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Oshawa mayoral election winner?

Markets (9)

Will Tito-Dante Marimpietri win the 2026 Oshawa, Ontario mayoral election?

Will Tito-Dante Marimpietri win the 2026 Oshawa, Ontario mayoral election?

Will Derek Giberson win the 2026 Oshawa, Ontario mayoral election?

Will Derek Giberson win the 2026 Oshawa, Ontario mayoral election?

Will Jim Lee win the 2026 Oshawa, Ontario mayoral election?

Will Jim Lee win the 2026 Oshawa, Ontario mayoral election?

Will Henry Onwuachu win the 2026 Oshawa, Ontario mayoral election?

Will Henry Onwuachu win the 2026 Oshawa, Ontario mayoral election?

Will Jeremy Large win the 2026 Oshawa, Ontario mayoral election?

Will Jeremy Large win the 2026 Oshawa, Ontario mayoral election?

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Will Tito-Dante Marimpietri win the 2026 Oshawa, Ontario mayoral election?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Oshawa mayoral election winner?

Will Tito-Dante Marimpietri win the 2026 Oshawa, Ontario mayoral election?

Will Tito-Dante Marimpietri win the 2026 Oshawa, Ontario mayoral election?

Will Derek Giberson win the 2026 Oshawa, Ontario mayoral election?

Will Derek Giberson win the 2026 Oshawa, Ontario mayoral election?

Will Jim Lee win the 2026 Oshawa, Ontario mayoral election?

Will Jim Lee win the 2026 Oshawa, Ontario mayoral election?

Will Henry Onwuachu win the 2026 Oshawa, Ontario mayoral election?

Will Henry Onwuachu win the 2026 Oshawa, Ontario mayoral election?

Will Jeremy Large win the 2026 Oshawa, Ontario mayoral election?

Will Jeremy Large win the 2026 Oshawa, Ontario mayoral election?

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