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Event GroupKALSHIPolitics

Who will be Trump's next Attorney General?

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Who will be Trump's next Attorney General?

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22 markets tracked

Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Todd Blanche)

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Single-Platform Markets(22)

Market	Platform	Price
Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Todd Blanche)	Kalshi	78%
Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Lee Zeldin)	Kalshi	5%
Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Ron DeSantis)	Kalshi	3%
Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Jeanine Pirro)	Kalshi	1%
Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Andrew Bailey)	Kalshi	1%
Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Harmeet Dhillon)	Kalshi	1%
Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Ken Paxton)	Kalshi	1%
Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Matt Gaetz)	Kalshi	1%
Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Rudy Giuliani)	Kalshi	1%
Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Yaakov Roth)	Kalshi	1%
Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Ashley Moody)	Kalshi	0%
Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Jay Clayton)	Kalshi	0%
Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Aileen Cannon)	Kalshi	0%
Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Ed Martin)	Kalshi	0%
Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Alina Habba)	Kalshi	0%
Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Eric Schmitt)	Kalshi	0%
Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Ted Cruz)	Kalshi	0%
Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Robert Giuffra)	Kalshi	0%
Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Matt Whitaker)	Kalshi	0%
Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Jeff Jensen)	Kalshi	0%
Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Mike Lee)	Kalshi	0%
Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Jason Miyares)	Kalshi	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

78%

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About This Event

Before January 20th, 2029 If the first new person to be Attorney General is X before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Acting and Interim holders of the office are not included in the Payout Criterion. Persons confirmed by the Senate to be that position, or appointed via a “recess appointment” are included, even if that recess appointment is later struck down as illegal. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Who will be Trump's next Attorney General?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before January 20th, 2029

If the first new person to be Attorney General is X before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Acting and Interim holders of the office are not included in the Payout Criterion. Persons confirmed by the Senate to be that position, or appointed via a “recess appointment” are included, even if that recess appointment is later struck down as illegal. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the first new person to be Attorney General is Rudy Giuliani before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Acting and Interim holders of the office are not included in the Payout Criterion. Persons confirmed by the Senate to be that position, or appointed via a “recess ap"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Rudy Giuliani)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Yaakov Roth)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Ed Martin)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 4. Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Jason Miyares)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Robert Giuffra)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 6. Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Ron DeSantis)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.4% (0.0%)]

### 7. Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Ashley Moody)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 8. Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Alina Habba)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 9. Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Ted Cruz)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 10. Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Harmeet Dhillon)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.1% (0.0%)]

### 11. Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Eric Schmitt)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 12. Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Ken Paxton)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.2% (0.0%)]

### 13. Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Todd Blanche)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 77.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 22.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Mike Lee)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 15. Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Jeanine Pirro)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.6% (0.0%)]

### 16. Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Andrew Bailey)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.7% (0.0%)]

### 17. Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Matt Whitaker)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 18. Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Matt Gaetz)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.3% (0.0%)]

### 19. Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Lee Zeldin)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.2% (0.0%)]

### 20. Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Jeff Jensen)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 21. Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Jay Clayton)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 22. Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Aileen Cannon)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIPolitics

Who will be Trump's next Attorney General?

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Markets22

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KALSHI

Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Todd Blanche)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 77.5¢No 22.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Todd Blanche)

If the first new person to be Attorney General is Todd Blanche before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Acting and Interim holders of the office are not included in the Payout Criterion. Persons confirmed by the Senate to be that position, or appointed via a “recess app

KALSHI

Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Lee Zeldin)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 4.8¢No 95.2¢

KALSHIPolitics

Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Lee Zeldin)

If the first new person to be Attorney General is Lee Zeldin before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Acting and Interim holders of the office are not included in the Payout Criterion. Persons confirmed by the Senate to be that position, or appointed via a “recess appoi

KALSHI

Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Ron DeSantis)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 2.7¢No 97.4¢

KALSHIPolitics

Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Ron DeSantis)

If the first new person to be Attorney General is Ron DeSantis before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Acting and Interim holders of the office are not included in the Payout Criterion. Persons confirmed by the Senate to be that position, or appointed via a “recess app

KALSHI

Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Jeanine Pirro)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 1.4¢No 98.6¢

KALSHIPolitics

Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Jeanine Pirro)

If the first new person to be Attorney General is Jeanine Pirro before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Acting and Interim holders of the office are not included in the Payout Criterion. Persons confirmed by the Senate to be that position, or appointed via a “recess ap

KALSHI

Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Andrew Bailey)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 1.4¢No 98.7¢

KALSHIPolitics

Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Andrew Bailey)

If the first new person to be Attorney General is Andrew Bailey before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Acting and Interim holders of the office are not included in the Payout Criterion. Persons confirmed by the Senate to be that position, or appointed via a “recess ap

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Who will be Trump's next Attorney General?

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Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Todd Blanche)

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Events (1)

Who will be Trump's next Attorney General?

Markets (22)

Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Todd Blanche)

Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Todd Blanche)

Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Lee Zeldin)

Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Lee Zeldin)

Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Ron DeSantis)

Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Ron DeSantis)

Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Jeanine Pirro)

Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Jeanine Pirro)

Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Andrew Bailey)

Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Andrew Bailey)

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Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Todd Blanche)

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Who will be Trump's next Attorney General?

Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Todd Blanche)

Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Todd Blanche)

Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Lee Zeldin)

Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Lee Zeldin)

Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Ron DeSantis)

Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Ron DeSantis)

Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Jeanine Pirro)

Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Jeanine Pirro)

Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Andrew Bailey)

Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? (Andrew Bailey)

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