Dogecoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
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Dogecoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the DOGE/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/doge-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair DOGE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-31T18:00:05.888Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single binary contract on Polymarket titled "Dogecoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET" [1]. The source states that it "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1].
The resolution source is the DOGE/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, and the contract states that it concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair DOGE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A reader comparing this with a Dogecoin price on an exchange or another data feed should expect different reference points. The listed end time is 2026-10-31T23:30:00.000Z [1].
Reading the snapshot
The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-10-31T18:00:05.888Z and retrieved at 2026-10-31T20:57:24.454Z [1]. Both times are in the past relative to the current time of this explanation, so the prices below describe that observation only and do not show current conditions.
At observation, the Up outcome was quoted at 0.5 and the Down outcome at 0.5 [1]. Because the two prices are equal, the snapshot shows no difference between the two outcomes at that moment. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities.
The coverage record lists one market for this event, with one included and no partial sample [1]. No other platform's contract is included, so there is nothing to compare or average against.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not include trading volume, order book depth, or any later price. Volume should not be read as liquidity or as a count of participants, and the evidence contains no information on either.
The evidence also does not explain any price movement. The snapshot records two values at one observation time and nothing about the reasons behind them.
Finally, the saved event is only the one listed here. The sample warning says the providers' lists do not establish that every possible outcome is included [1], though this binary contract lists both of its outcomes. Readers should check the provider's listed close time and resolution rules directly before relying on any reading of this contract.
References
- Polymarket: Dogecoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-31T18:00:05.888Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 31, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-window contract titled "Dogecoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET," listed in the crypto category on Polymarket [1]. The contract resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the DOGE/USD TWAP data stream [1]. The provider states that the market concerns the price according to that Chainlink data stream for the DOGE/USD pair, not according to other sources or spot markets [1]. A contract's rules therefore determine which price feed counts, which can differ from prices quoted elsewhere. The listed end time for this event is 2026-10-31T23:30:00.000Z, and the provider lists its status as active [1]. That end time is a contract rule taken from the provider record. It describes when the market is listed to close and should not be read as a report of what the Dogecoin price did during that window.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether Dogecoin's average price over a defined 15-minute window, as recorded by one specified Chainlink data stream, finishes at or above the price at the start of that window [1]. Because it compares the average over the window with the starting price, the outcome depends on the stream's TWAP calculation rather than on a single price printed at the end. Readers should check the resolution source named in the rules, since the provider says other sources and spot markets are not the basis for resolution [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-31 at 18:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this contract resolves Up?
It resolves Up if the TWAP of Dogecoin over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range [1].
Which price feed is used to resolve the contract?
The resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the DOGE/USD TWAP data stream [1]. The provider says other sources or spot markets do not determine the outcome [1].
When is the listed end time for this market?
The provider lists the end time as 2026-10-31T23:30:00.000Z [1]. This is the contract's listed end time, not a record of market activity at that moment.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.