ZCash Up or Down - October 31, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
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ZCash Up or Down - October 31, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zec-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-31T18:00:05.888Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a binary contract on Polymarket titled "ZCash Up or Down - October 31, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET" [1]. According to the saved contract rules, the market "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1].
The resolution source is the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules state that the market "is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A reader comparing this contract with a ZCash price on another exchange or data feed should expect different resolution mechanics.
The title states its window in Eastern Time, while the saved listed end time is "2026-10-31T23:30:00.000Z" [1]. The evidence does not separately confirm the conversion, so readers should rely on the listed end time for the record.
Reading the snapshot
The saved provider observation was taken at 18:00:05 UTC on October 31, 2026, and the record was retrieved at 20:50:01 UTC the same day [1]. These are separate timestamps. The prices below describe that observation only and do not show what the contract is quoted at now.
In the saved snapshot, the "Up" outcome was priced at 0.5 and the "Down" outcome at 0.5 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The evidence does not include volume, order book depth, or trader counts, so it cannot show how liquid the contract is.
The saved record lists the provider status as active [1]. That status reflects the saved record at retrieval, and the evidence does not confirm the status at any later time.
The sample covers one market from one provider event. The coverage record shows one total market, one included, and no partial sample [1]. Because this is a single binary contract, there are no omitted outcomes to compare.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the prices are at 0.5, and this explanation should not be inferred from the snapshot. It also does not show the ZCash price at the start of the window or during it, so the outcome cannot be determined from the supplied material.
The saved record does not show whether the market has closed, been resolved, or changed since retrieval. Readers should check the provider directly for current status and final resolution.
References
- Polymarket: ZCash Up or Down - October 31, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-31T18:00:05.888Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 31, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a short-term crypto contract from Polymarket titled "ZCash Up or Down - October 31, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET" [1]. It asks whether the price of ZCash will finish the window higher or lower than where it started. The contract has two outcomes, Up and Down [1]. The contract resolves to Up if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, as generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to Down [1]. The comparison is therefore between an average price across the window and the starting price, not between a single price at the start and a single price at the end. The resolution source is the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP data stream [1]. The rules state that the market concerns the price in that Chainlink data stream for the ZEC/USD pair, and not any other source or spot market [1]. A price shown on a different exchange or data feed would not, under these rules, determine the outcome. At the time the market data was observed, the Up and Down outcomes were each priced at 0.50 [1]. A price is a snapshot from the provider and is not an executable quote or a verified probability. The listed end time in the provider record is 2026-10-31T23:30:00Z [1]. That is the time the provider lists for the contract, and it should be distinguished from the time the outcome is actually resolved.
Why It Matters
The contract measures the direction of ZCash's Chainlink-reported ZEC/USD price over a single 15-minute window, as defined by the title [1]. Because the comparison uses a time-weighted average rather than a closing price, the result depends on how the price behaved across the whole window relative to the price at its start [1]. Anyone reading the contract should check the stated resolution source, since the rules limit resolution to that Chainlink stream and exclude other sources [1]. The snapshot price of 0.50 for each side reflects the market's pricing at one observation time and does not indicate how the contract is trading now [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-31 at 18:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this contract resolves Up or Down?
The contract resolves Up if the time-weighted average price of ZCash over the window in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the start of that window. Otherwise it resolves Down [1].
Which price source is used for resolution?
The resolution source is the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP data stream. The rules say the market is about that Chainlink data stream and not about other sources or spot markets [1].
Does the 0.50 price mean the outcome is equally likely?
The record shows Up and Down each at 0.50 at the observation time [1]. That is a provider snapshot, not an executable quote or a verified probability, so it should not be read as a forecast [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.