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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Name: LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
End: 2026-05-02T13:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$6.28K

Events

Markets

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LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Vol

$6.28K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $6.28K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $6.28K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

23 markets tracked

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(23)

Market	Platform	Price
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	77%
Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	77%
Games Total: Over/Under 2.5	Poly	66%
Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	51%
Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	50%
Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	50%
Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	44%
Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	30%
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Poly	17%
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner	Poly	17%
Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	13%
Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	13%
Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	11%
Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	11%
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Poly	10%
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)	Poly	10%
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	10%
Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	2%
Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

77%

Top Probability

$6.28K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the LoL match between Team WE and JD Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for May 2 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team WE" if Team WE win the match against JD Gaming. This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win the match against Team WE. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begi

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 2, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market refers to the LoL match between Team WE and JD Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for May 2 at 3:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Team WE" if Team WE win the match against JD Gaming.

This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win the match against Team WE.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. 

If the match begi

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the LoL match between Team WE and JD Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for May 2 at 3:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Team WE" if Team WE win the match against JD Gaming.

This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win the match against Team W"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $6.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $100.1K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.06)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $3.8K
  DATA: [Team WE: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [JD Gaming: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $2.2K
  DATA: [Team WE: 16.5% (0.0%)] | [JD Gaming: 83.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $35
  DATA: [Team WE: 16.5% (0.0%)] | [JD Gaming: 83.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $292
  DATA: [Over: 29.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 70.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Games Total: Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $28
  DATA: [JD Gaming: 66.0% (0.0%)] | [Team WE: 34.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 76.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 23.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 44.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 56.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 13.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $13
  DATA: [Yes: 2.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.7% (0.0%)]

### 17. Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 76.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 23.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 13.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.0% (0.0%)]

### 22. Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $14
  DATA: [Yes: 2.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.7% (0.0%)]

### 23. Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 50.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Volume$6.28K

Markets23

23 of 23

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POLYMARKET

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 76.5¢No 23.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

This market is about whether both teams destroy at least one enemy inhibitor during Game 1. In League of Legends, each team has three inhibitors (one in each lane), located behind the inner turrets. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Team WE and JD Gaming each destroy at least one enemy inhi

POLYMARKET

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 76.5¢No 23.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

This market is about whether both teams slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 2. In League of Legends, elemental dragons (Infernal, Mountain, Ocean, Hextech, Chemtech, and Cloud) spawn in the dragon pit starting at 5:00 game time. After being slain, the next dragon spawns 5 minutes later. O

POLYMARKET

Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.5¢No 49.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

This market is about whether any player achieves a Penta Kill during Game 3. In League of Legends, a Penta Kill occurs when a single player kills all 5 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Penta Kill during Game 3. This marke

POLYMARKET

Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

This market is about whether both teams slay the Baron Nashor at least once during Game 3. Baron Nashor is a powerful neutral objective in League of Legends that first spawns at 20:00 game time and respawns 6 minutes after each death, granting the slaying team the Hand of Baron buff. This market wi

POLYMARKET

Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?

This market is about whether any player achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 3. In League of Legends, a Quadra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 3. This market

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33¢

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LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

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Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Markets (23)

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?

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Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

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LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?

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