Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

New Jersey gas prices this week

Total Volume

$415.00

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

New Jersey gas prices this week

Vol

$415.00

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $415.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $415.00

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

21 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Will average gas prices be above $4.1600?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(21)

Market	Platform	Price
Will average gas prices be above $4.1600?	Kalshi	98%
Will average gas prices be above $4.1400?	Kalshi	98%
Will average gas prices be above $4.1200?	Kalshi	98%
Will average gas prices be above $4.1000?	Kalshi	98%
Will average gas prices be above $4.1800?	Kalshi	97%
Will average gas prices be above $4.2000?	Kalshi	96%
Will average gas prices be above $4.2200?	Kalshi	94%
Will average gas prices be above $4.2400?	Kalshi	86%
Will average gas prices be above $4.2600?	Kalshi	77%
Will average gas prices be above $4.2800?	Kalshi	66%
Will average gas prices be above $4.3000?	Kalshi	55%
Will average gas prices be above $4.3200?	Kalshi	44%
Will average gas prices be above $4.3400?	Kalshi	26%
Will average gas prices be above $4.3600?	Kalshi	11%
Will average gas prices be above $4.3800?	Kalshi	5%
Will average gas prices be above $4.4200?	Kalshi	3%
Will average gas prices be above $4.4000?	Kalshi	3%
Will average gas prices be above $4.5000?	Kalshi	3%
Will average gas prices be above $4.4800?	Kalshi	3%
Will average gas prices be above $4.4600?	Kalshi	3%
Will average gas prices be above $4.4400?	Kalshi	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

98%

Top Probability

$415.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

On Oct 19, 2026 If average regular gas prices for New Jersey are strictly greater than X on Oct 19, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** New Jersey gas prices this week
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** On Oct 19, 2026

If average regular gas prices for New Jersey are strictly greater than X on Oct 19, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If average regular gas prices for New Jersey are strictly greater than $4.5000 on Oct 19, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $415
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.5000?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.4800?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.4600?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.4400?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.4200?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.4000?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.3800?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.3600?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $200
  DATA: [Yes: 11.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.3400?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 26.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.3200?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 44.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 56.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.3000?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $200
  DATA: [Yes: 55.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 45.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.2800?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 66.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 34.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.2600?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $15
  DATA: [Yes: 77.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 23.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.2400?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 86.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 14.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.2200?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 94.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.2000?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 95.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.1800?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 96.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.1600?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 97.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.1400?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 97.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.1200?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 97.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.1000?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 97.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

New Jersey gas prices this week

On Oct 19, 2026 If average regular gas prices for New Jersey are strictly greater than X on Oct 19, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

Volume$415.00

Markets21

21 of 21

Sort:

KALSHI

Will average gas prices be above $4.1600?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 97.5¢No 2.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will average gas prices be above $4.1600?

If average regular gas prices for New Jersey are strictly greater than $4.1600 on Oct 19, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will average gas prices be above $4.1400?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 97.5¢No 2.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will average gas prices be above $4.1400?

If average regular gas prices for New Jersey are strictly greater than $4.1400 on Oct 19, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will average gas prices be above $4.1200?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 97.5¢No 2.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will average gas prices be above $4.1200?

If average regular gas prices for New Jersey are strictly greater than $4.1200 on Oct 19, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will average gas prices be above $4.1000?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 97.5¢No 2.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will average gas prices be above $4.1000?

If average regular gas prices for New Jersey are strictly greater than $4.1000 on Oct 19, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will average gas prices be above $4.1800?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 96.5¢No 3.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will average gas prices be above $4.1800?

If average regular gas prices for New Jersey are strictly greater than $4.1800 on Oct 19, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

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51¢

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New Jersey gas prices this week

New Jersey gas prices this week

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Will average **gas prices** be above $4.1600?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

New Jersey gas prices this week

Markets (21)

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.1600?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.1600?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.1400?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.1400?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.1200?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.1200?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.1000?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.1000?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.1800?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.1800?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

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Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.1600?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

New Jersey gas prices this week

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.1600?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.1600?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.1400?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.1400?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.1200?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.1200?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.1000?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.1000?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.1800?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.1800?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget

Will average gas prices be above $4.1600?

Will average gas prices be above $4.1600?

Will average gas prices be above $4.1600?

Will average gas prices be above $4.1400?

Will average gas prices be above $4.1400?

Will average gas prices be above $4.1200?

Will average gas prices be above $4.1200?

Will average gas prices be above $4.1000?

Will average gas prices be above $4.1000?

Will average gas prices be above $4.1800?

Will average gas prices be above $4.1800?

Will average gas prices be above $4.1600?

Will average gas prices be above $4.1600?

Will average gas prices be above $4.1600?

Will average gas prices be above $4.1400?

Will average gas prices be above $4.1400?

Will average gas prices be above $4.1200?

Will average gas prices be above $4.1200?

Will average gas prices be above $4.1000?

Will average gas prices be above $4.1000?

Will average gas prices be above $4.1800?

Will average gas prices be above $4.1800?