What will JD Vance say during his Veterans Day remarks?
K 14.9K contracts
1
17
What will JD Vance say during his Veterans Day remarks?
K 14.9K contracts
1
17
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Nov 11, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Marine at 71%.
Kalshi
- Marine71%
- Peace37%
- Iraq28%
- Gold Star27%
- 25026%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 14.9K contracts
Reported volume · provider units
17
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 11, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
JD Vance - Veterans Day remarks at Arlington National Cemetery originally scheduled for November 11, 2026 If JD Vance says X / Y as part of Veterans Day remarks at Arlington National Cemetery originally scheduled for November 11, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the Veterans Day remarks at Arlington National Cemetery originally scheduled for November 11, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external, official, transcripts of the Veterans Day remarks at Arlington National Cemetery originally scheduled for November 11, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases, e.g. names, titles, etc. JD Vance speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify, e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic. Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
Snapshot observed 2026-11-11T12:00:05.992Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This snapshot covers a Kalshi event asking what JD Vance will say during his Veterans Day remarks. The source describes the remarks as "at Arlington National Cemetery originally scheduled for November 11, 2026" [1]. The word "originally" means the evidence does not confirm whether the event took place on that date.
Each market asks whether a specific word or phrase will be said. A contract resolves to Yes if Vance says "X / Y" during the remarks [1]. The rules accept the exact phrase, plural or possessive forms, and proper-noun uses, but not grammatical or tense inflections. Presence alone on a livestream does not qualify, and archival footage or unofficial statements do not count [1].
Resolution relies on video of the remarks. If Kalshi employees cannot reach consensus using video, transcripts are used [1]. The rules also say that if the event is definitively cancelled, the "Event does not qualify" market resolves to Yes and all other markets resolve to No [1].
Reading the snapshot
The observation time is 2026-11-11T12:00:05.992Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-11-11T13:02:34.958Z [1]. These prices describe that moment only. They are not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
The sample is partial. Twelve of 17 markets from this event are included, so the omitted five are not shown and their prices are unknown. The included markets were selected by Yes price, highest first, so the omitted markets cannot be read from the table. Among the 12 shown, the Yes prices range from 0.07 for Biden to 0.71 for Marine. The Yes and No prices within each market sum to roughly 1.
The market records list an end date of 2026-11-25T15:00:00.000Z, while the source excerpt states that the "Listed end time: not supplied" [1]. Treat the date as a listed close time in the market record, not an announced event date. Also note that each market is a separate word-mention contract, so differences in price reflect different questions, not a ranking of likelihood across words that should be combined.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show whether the remarks occurred, what was said, or how the markets resolved. It also does not explain why any price is where it is, how many traders are involved, or how liquid each contract is. Volume is not liquidity or trader count. Because the prices come from one snapshot and one partial sample, they should not be treated as current, complete, or comparable to other platforms without matching wording and close times.
References
- Kalshi: What will JD Vance say during his Veterans Day remarks?. Provider data observed 2026-11-11T12:00:05.992Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 11, 2026 UTCOverview
This entry covers a Kalshi event asking what JD Vance will say during Veterans Day remarks at Arlington National Cemetery. The provider describes the remarks as originally scheduled for November 11, 2026 [1]. The event is a mentions market, meaning each listed word or phrase is its own yes or no contract. A contract resolves to Yes if the specified phrase is said during the remarks under the payout criteria [1]. The provider lists the event status as active and does not supply a listed end time [1]. The payout criteria are narrow. A phrase counts when the exact word or phrase is spoken, along with a plural or possessive form of it, and the speaker must be Vance acting in an official capacity [1]. When a slash appears in a phrase, either word satisfies the criterion [1]. Other grammatical or tense inflections do not count [1]. Being visible on a livestream is not enough. Inaudible private conversations, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic, previously aired content, and archival footage from separate events do not qualify [1]. Resolution relies on video of the remarks. If Kalshi employees cannot reach a consensus from video, official transcripts are used instead [1]. The contract also covers disruptions. If the event is definitively cancelled, fails to qualify, or cannot resolve normally, the separate "Event does not qualify" market resolves to Yes and the other markets resolve to No [1]. If the event is postponed and the postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day with a new time within 14 calendar days, the markets stay open [1]. The market records show an end date of November 25, 2026. That is a field in the contract data and is not an announced date for the remarks. The contract text also states that the market will close and expire early if the event occurs [1].
Historical Context
Background on Vance comes from Wikipedia pages retrieved on November 11, 2026. These pages describe his past and office holding as recorded at retrieval. They do not verify any current event, including the scheduled remarks. A Wikipedia list of his vice presidential trips states that, as of February 8, 2026, he had made 47 domestic trips to 26 states and 9 international trips to 12 countries or territories [3]. That list is dated and reflects the record as of that date.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether specific words or phrases appear in an official speech by Vance at a Veterans Day event. It does not measure the overall content, tone, or length of the remarks. The market data covers 12 of the 17 contracts the provider lists for this event, so it is a partial sample ordered by Yes price [1]. Omitted contracts should not be assumed to be priced lower, and the listed prices are snapshots rather than executable quotes. Volume figures, where shown, do not indicate liquidity or the number of traders.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-11 at 12:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
Does a phrase count if Vance only appears on camera while it is said?
Not by itself. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient, and inaudible private conversations or unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic do not qualify [1].
Do plural or possessive forms of a listed phrase count?
Yes. The exact phrase or a plural or possessive form counts, but other grammatical or tense inflections are not included [1].
What happens if the Veterans Day remarks are postponed?
The provider's rules say the markets remain open if the postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day and the event is rescheduled within 14 calendar days [1]. If the event is definitively cancelled or fails to qualify, the "Event does not qualify" market resolves to Yes and the other markets resolve to No [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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