Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 9:10 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays - First 5 Innings Winner

Name: Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays - First 5 Innings Winner
End: 2026-10-14T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$111.22

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays - First 5 Innings Winner

Vol

$111.22

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $111.22

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Price gaps

of 0 cross-platform

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Volume DistributionTotal: $111.22

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Tampa Bay Rays winning after 5 innings?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Tampa Bay Rays winning after 5 innings?	Poly	42%
Cleveland Guardians winning after 5 innings?	Poly	40%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays: Tied after 5 innings?	Poly	18%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

42%

Top Probability

$111.22

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for October 13 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to "Draw". If the game is postponed, this m

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays - First 5 Innings Winner
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 14, 2026 (1 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Critical

**Description:** In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for October 13 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to "Draw". If the game is postponed, this m

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for October 13 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if t"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $111
* **Total Liquidity:** $12.0K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.01)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Cleveland Guardians winning after 5 innings?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 40.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Tampa Bay Rays winning after 5 innings?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $111
  DATA: [Yes: 42.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 58.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays: Tied after 5 innings?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 18.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

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