Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETClimate

Highest Mt. Washington wind speed in October?

Name: Highest Mt. Washington wind speed in October?
End: 2026-11-01T03:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$304.15

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Highest Mt. Washington wind speed in October?

Vol

$304.15

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $304.15

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $304.15

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

7 markets tracked

Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in October be at least 95 mph?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in October be at least 95 mph?	Poly	98%
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in October be at least 100 mph?	Poly	98%
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in October be at least 105 mph?	Poly	98%
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in October be at least 110 mph?	Poly	51%
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in October be at least 120 mph?	Poly	50%
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in October be at least 115 mph?	Poly	50%
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in October be at least 125 mph?	Poly	50%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

98%

Top Probability

$304.15

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve based on the highest wind speed, in miles per hour, reported on the summit of Mt. Washington in New Hampshire in October, 2026. The resolution source will be data published by the Mt. Washington Weather Observatory. F6 reports containing daily wind speed recordings can be found here: https://mountwashington.org/weather/mount-washington-weather-archives/monthly-f6/. The resolution source for this market measures wind speeds to whole mile per hour (eg, 67mph). Thus, this

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Highest Mt. Washington wind speed in October?
**Category:** Climate | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Nov 1, 2026 (21 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market will resolve based on the highest wind speed, in miles per hour, reported on the summit of Mt. Washington in New Hampshire in October, 2026.

The resolution source will be data published by the Mt. Washington Weather Observatory. F6 reports containing daily wind speed recordings can be found here: https://mountwashington.org/weather/mount-washington-weather-archives/monthly-f6/.

The resolution source for this market measures wind speeds to whole mile per hour (eg, 67mph). Thus, this

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve based on the highest wind speed, in miles per hour, reported on the summit of Mt. Washington in New Hampshire in October, 2026.

The resolution source will be data published by the Mt. Washington Weather Observatory. F6 reports containing daily wind speed recordings can be f"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $304
* **Total Liquidity:** $2.0K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.16)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in October be at least 95 mph?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $120
  DATA: [Yes: 98.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.6% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in October be at least 100 mph?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $80
  DATA: [Yes: 98.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.6% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in October be at least 105 mph?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $103
  DATA: [Yes: 98.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.6% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in October be at least 110 mph?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in October be at least 115 mph?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in October be at least 120 mph?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in October be at least 125 mph?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETClimate