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GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

Battleground Senate Combo: which states will Democrats win?

Total Volume

$1.62K

Events

Markets

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Battleground Senate Combo: which states will Democrats win?

Vol

$1.62K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $1.62K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $1.62K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

32 markets tracked

Will Democrats win all 5?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(32)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Democrats win all 5?	Kalshi	42%
Will Democrats win Michigan, New Hampshire, Alaska, Ohio?	Kalshi	10%
Will Democrats win Maine, Michigan, New Hampshire, Alaska?	Kalshi	8%
Will Democrats win Maine, Michigan, New Hampshire, Ohio?	Kalshi	6%
Will Democrats win Michigan, New Hampshire?	Kalshi	5%
Will Democrats win Maine, New Hampshire, Alaska, Ohio?	Kalshi	5%
Will Democrats win Ohio?	Kalshi	5%
Will Democrats win Maine, Michigan, New Hampshire?	Kalshi	4%
Will Democrats win Michigan, New Hampshire, Alaska?	Kalshi	4%
Will Democrats win Maine, New Hampshire, Alaska?	Kalshi	4%
Will Democrats win Michigan, New Hampshire, Ohio?	Kalshi	3%
Will Democrats win New Hampshire, Alaska, Ohio?	Kalshi	3%
Will Democrats win Maine, Michigan, Alaska, Ohio?	Kalshi	3%
Will Democrats win Maine, New Hampshire, Ohio?	Kalshi	3%
Will Democrats win Maine, New Hampshire?	Kalshi	3%
Will Democrats win Maine, Michigan, Alaska?	Kalshi	3%
Will Democrats win Maine, Michigan?	Kalshi	3%
Will Democrats win Maine, Alaska, Ohio?	Kalshi	3%
Will Democrats win Maine, Alaska?	Kalshi	3%
Will Democrats win Michigan, Alaska, Ohio?	Kalshi	3%
Will Democrats win Michigan?	Kalshi	3%
Will Democrats win New Hampshire, Alaska?	Kalshi	3%
Will Democrats win New Hampshire?	Kalshi	3%
Will Democrats win Maine, Michigan, Ohio?	Kalshi	2%
Will Democrats win Maine, Ohio?	Kalshi	2%
Will Democrats win Michigan, Alaska?	Kalshi	2%
Will Democrats win Michigan, Ohio?	Kalshi	2%
Will Democrats win New Hampshire, Ohio?	Kalshi	2%
Will Democrats win none of the 5?	Kalshi	2%
Will Democrats win Maine?	Kalshi	2%
Will Democrats win Alaska, Ohio?	Kalshi	2%
Will Democrats win Alaska?	Kalshi	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

42%

Top Probability

$1.62K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

ME, MI, NH, AK, OH ME, MI, NH, AK, OH X Democratic candidate is a candidate listed with the Democratic Party label on the general election ballot. Any other winner, including an independent, is a candidate other than a Democrat. This market is eligible for accelerated determination two days after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. The full rules provide further details. This market will close and expire early if all elections have been certified.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Battleground Senate Combo: which states will Democrats win?
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** ME, MI, NH, AK, OH

ME, MI, NH, AK, OH X Democratic candidate is a candidate listed with the Democratic Party label on the general election ballot. Any other winner, including an independent, is a candidate other than a Democrat. This market is eligible for accelerated determination two days after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. The full rules provide further details. This market will close and expire early if all elections have been certified.

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Democrats win all 5?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 42.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 58.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Democrats win Maine, Michigan, New Hampshire, Alaska?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Democrats win Maine, Michigan, New Hampshire, Ohio?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Democrats win Maine, Michigan, New Hampshire?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Democrats win Maine, Michigan, Alaska, Ohio?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Democrats win Maine, Michigan, Alaska?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Democrats win Maine, Michigan, Ohio?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Democrats win Maine, Michigan?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Democrats win Maine, New Hampshire, Alaska, Ohio?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Democrats win Maine, New Hampshire, Alaska?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Democrats win Maine, New Hampshire, Ohio?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Democrats win Maine, New Hampshire?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Democrats win Maine, Alaska, Ohio?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Democrats win Maine, Alaska?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Democrats win Maine, Ohio?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Democrats win Maine?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Democrats win Michigan, New Hampshire, Alaska, Ohio?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $205
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Democrats win Michigan, New Hampshire, Alaska?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Democrats win Michigan, New Hampshire, Ohio?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Democrats win Michigan, New Hampshire?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Democrats win Michigan, Alaska, Ohio?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Democrats win Michigan, Alaska?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Democrats win Michigan, Ohio?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will Democrats win Michigan?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will Democrats win New Hampshire, Alaska, Ohio?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will Democrats win New Hampshire, Alaska?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 27. Will Democrats win New Hampshire, Ohio?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 28. Will Democrats win New Hampshire?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 29. Will Democrats win Alaska, Ohio?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 30. Will Democrats win Alaska?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 31. Will Democrats win Ohio?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $309
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 32. Will Democrats win none of the 5?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $52
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

Battleground Senate Combo: which states will Democrats win?

Volume$1.62K

Markets32

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KALSHI

Will Democrats win all 5?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 42.0¢No 58.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Democrats win all 5?

If a Democratic candidate in Maine's U.S. Senate election, a Democratic candidate in Michigan's U.S. Senate election, a Democratic candidate in New Hampshire's U.S. Senate election, a Democratic candidate in Alaska's U.S. Senate election, and a Democratic candidate in Ohio's U.S. Senate special elec

KALSHI

Will Democrats win Michigan, New Hampshire, Alaska, Ohio?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 9.5¢No 90.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Democrats win Michigan, New Hampshire, Alaska, Ohio?

If a candidate other than a Democrat in Maine's U.S. Senate election, a Democratic candidate in Michigan's U.S. Senate election, a Democratic candidate in New Hampshire's U.S. Senate election, a Democratic candidate in Alaska's U.S. Senate election, and a Democratic candidate in Ohio's U.S. Senate s

KALSHI

Will Democrats win Maine, Michigan, New Hampshire, Alaska?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 7.5¢No 92.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Democrats win Maine, Michigan, New Hampshire, Alaska?

If a Democratic candidate in Maine's U.S. Senate election, a Democratic candidate in Michigan's U.S. Senate election, a Democratic candidate in New Hampshire's U.S. Senate election, a Democratic candidate in Alaska's U.S. Senate election, and a candidate other than a Democrat in Ohio's U.S. Senate s

KALSHI

Will Democrats win Maine, Michigan, New Hampshire, Ohio?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 5.5¢No 94.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Democrats win Maine, Michigan, New Hampshire, Ohio?

If a Democratic candidate in Maine's U.S. Senate election, a Democratic candidate in Michigan's U.S. Senate election, a Democratic candidate in New Hampshire's U.S. Senate election, a candidate other than a Democrat in Alaska's U.S. Senate election, and a Democratic candidate in Ohio's U.S. Senate s

KALSHI

Will Democrats win Michigan, New Hampshire?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 5.0¢No 95.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Democrats win Michigan, New Hampshire?

If a candidate other than a Democrat in Maine's U.S. Senate election, a Democratic candidate in Michigan's U.S. Senate election, a Democratic candidate in New Hampshire's U.S. Senate election, a candidate other than a Democrat in Alaska's U.S. Senate election, and a candidate other than a Democrat i

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/H9Yx-T" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Battleground Senate Combo: which states will Democrats win?"></iframe>

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Battleground Senate Combo: which states will Democrats win?

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Will Democrats win all 5?

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About This Event

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Events (1)

Battleground Senate Combo: which states will Democrats win?

Markets (32)

Will Democrats win all 5?

Will Democrats win all 5?

Will Democrats win Michigan, New Hampshire, Alaska, Ohio?

Will Democrats win Michigan, New Hampshire, Alaska, Ohio?

Will Democrats win Maine, Michigan, New Hampshire, Alaska?

Will Democrats win Maine, Michigan, New Hampshire, Alaska?

Will Democrats win Maine, Michigan, New Hampshire, Ohio?

Will Democrats win Maine, Michigan, New Hampshire, Ohio?

Will Democrats win Michigan, New Hampshire?

Will Democrats win Michigan, New Hampshire?

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Will Democrats win all 5?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Battleground Senate Combo: which states will Democrats win?

Will Democrats win all 5?

Will Democrats win all 5?

Will Democrats win Michigan, New Hampshire, Alaska, Ohio?

Will Democrats win Michigan, New Hampshire, Alaska, Ohio?

Will Democrats win Maine, Michigan, New Hampshire, Alaska?

Will Democrats win Maine, Michigan, New Hampshire, Alaska?

Will Democrats win Maine, Michigan, New Hampshire, Ohio?

Will Democrats win Maine, Michigan, New Hampshire, Ohio?

Will Democrats win Michigan, New Hampshire?

Will Democrats win Michigan, New Hampshire?

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